Description20200515 Week B 7948 293 E 16878 944 P 16748 965.png
English: Logistic growth model fits for hospitalised COVID-19 cases in Belgium for data from 15/03/2020 until 14/05/2020. We can make out two phases separated by the yellow vertical line. One from 15/03/2020 until 31/03/2020 (with a fit in green) and the one from 01/04/2020 until 14/05/2020 (with a fit in blue).
The initial phase (green) had exponential growth/decline rate of 29.3% and the total number of cumulated hospitalised cases stabilises at 7948. The second phase (blue) has exponential growth/decline rate of 9.44% and the total number of cumulated hospitalised cases stabilises at 16878.
Also shown in purple is the fitted new hospitalisations from 01/04/2020 until 14/05/2020 (corresponding to the blue fit for cumulative data).
Beyond the 14th of May the curves shown are only a trend according to the logistic growth model, these have an uncertainty range associated to them and should not be seen as a prediction.
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