2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
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| Elections in Nebraska |
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The 2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.[2]
Trump carried the state with 58.7% of the vote, while Clinton received 33.7%.[3] Trump subsequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Douglas or Lancaster County since William Howard Taft in 1908. This is also the most recent presidential election when Nebraska's 2nd congressional district would vote Republican.
Caucuses and primaries
Democratic caucus
The 2016 Nebraska Democratic caucuses was held on March 15, 2016, as part of a series of primary elections to decide the 2016 Democratic nominee for president. Senator Bernie Sanders won a commanding victory in Nebraska, winning rural areas along with big cities such as Omaha and Lincoln. This was the last Democratic primary in Nebraska held via the caucus method, the state party switched to a standard popular vote to decide the allocation of delegates in future elections including 2020. In 2016, the Nebraska caucuses occurred on the same dates as Kansas and Louisiana, the former being won handily by Sanders, while the latter was won in a landslide by the eventual nominee Hillary Clinton.
Bernie Sanders
Hillary Clinton
Democratic presidential caucuses
| Nebraska Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 19,120 | 57.14% | 15 | 1 | 16 |
| Hillary Clinton | 14,340 | 42.86% | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Uncommitted | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Total | 33,460 | 100% | 25 | 5 | 30 |
| Source: [4] | |||||
Democratic presidential primary (non-binding)
The Nebraska Democratic primary was held on May 10, 2016. The primary does not bind delegates. Delegates were bound by the caucuses on March 5, 2016.
| Nebraska Democratic primary, May 10, 2016 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Hillary Clinton | 42,692 | 53.08% | — | ||
| Bernie Sanders | 37,744 | 46.92% | — | ||
| Total | 80,436 | 100% | — | ||
| Source: [5] | |||||
Republican primary
Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[6][7]
- Ben Carson (withdrawn)
- Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
- John Kasich (withdrawn)
- Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
- Donald Trump
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 122,327 | 61.47% | 36 | 0 | 36 |
| Ted Cruz (withdrawn) | 36,703 | 18.44% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Kasich (withdrawn) | 22,709 | 11.41% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 10,016 | 5.03% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marco Rubio (withdrawn) | 7,233 | 3.63% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total: | 198,988 | 100.00% | 36 | 0 | 36 |
| Source: The Green Papers | |||||
Libertarian primary
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 Nebraska results by county
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The Nebraska primary was held on May 10, 2016. Independents and registered Libertarians were allowed to vote in the state's Libertarian primary. The Nebraska Primary marked the third large victory for Gary Johnson in the handful of states that conduct Libertarian presidential primaries. However, since the Libertarian Party does not use such primaries for selecting delegates to its national nominating convention, the results were effectively non-binding.
| 2016 Nebraska Libertarian primary[8] | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Popular vote | |
| Count | Percentage | |
 Gary Johnson
|
375 | 52.08% |
| Austin Petersen | 135 | 18.75% |
| John McAfee | 124 | 17.22% |
| Marc Allan Feldman | 47 | 6.53% |
| Steve Kerbel | 35 | 4.86% |
| Total: | 720 | 100% |
General election
Polling
Nebraska's 1st Congressional District
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hillary Clinton (D) |
Donald Trump (R) |
Gary Johnson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[9] | September 25–27, 2016 | 233 | 29% | 53% | — | — | — |
Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hillary Clinton (D) |
Donald Trump (R) |
Gary Johnson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[9] | September 25–27, 2016 | 233 | 40% | 49% | — | — | — | |
| The Singularis Group, LLC[10] | May 11–12, 2016 | 1,007 | ± 3.08% | 36% | 44% | — | — | 20% |
Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Hillary Clinton (D) |
Donald Trump (R) |
Gary Johnson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College[9] | September 25–27, 2016 | 234 | 20% | 65% | — | — | — |
Predictions
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nebraska as of election day.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Times[11] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
| CNN[12] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[13] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| NBC[15] | Likely R | November 7, 2016 |
| RealClearPolitics[16] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
| Fox News[17] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
| ABC[18] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Results
| 2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | Donald Trump | Mike Pence | 495,961 | 58.75% | 5 | |
| Democratic | Hillary Clinton | Tim Kaine | 284,494 | 33.70% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Gary Johnson | William Weld | 38,946 | 4.61% | 0 | |
| Write-Ins | 16,051 | 1.90% | 0 | |||
| Green | Jill Stein | Ajamu Baraka | 8,775 | 1.04% | 0 | |
| Totals | 844,227 | 100.00% | 5 | |||
By county
| County | Donald Trump Republican |
Hillary Clinton Democratic |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 9,287 | 68.73% | 3,302 | 24.44% | 924 | 6.83% | 5,985 | 44.29% | 13,513 |
| Antelope | 2,732 | 83.27% | 383 | 11.67% | 166 | 5.06% | 2,349 | 71.60% | 3,281 |
| Arthur | 244 | 89.38% | 17 | 6.23% | 12 | 4.39% | 227 | 83.15% | 273 |
| Banner | 357 | 88.81% | 19 | 4.73% | 26 | 6.46% | 338 | 84.08% | 402 |
| Blaine | 276 | 87.07% | 30 | 9.46% | 11 | 3.47% | 246 | 77.61% | 317 |
| Boone | 2,299 | 79.14% | 414 | 14.25% | 192 | 6.61% | 1,885 | 64.89% | 2,905 |
| Box Butte | 3,617 | 73.46% | 965 | 19.60% | 342 | 6.94% | 2,652 | 53.86% | 4,924 |
| Boyd | 983 | 85.03% | 128 | 11.07% | 45 | 3.90% | 855 | 73.96% | 1,156 |
| Brown | 1,385 | 86.73% | 153 | 9.58% | 59 | 3.69% | 1,232 | 77.15% | 1,597 |
| Buffalo | 14,569 | 68.95% | 4,763 | 22.54% | 1,797 | 8.51% | 9,806 | 46.41% | 21,129 |
| Burt | 2,367 | 66.53% | 930 | 26.14% | 261 | 7.33% | 1,437 | 40.39% | 3,558 |
| Butler | 3,079 | 77.34% | 691 | 17.36% | 211 | 5.30% | 2,388 | 59.98% | 3,981 |
| Cass | 8,452 | 65.35% | 3,484 | 26.94% | 997 | 7.71% | 4,968 | 38.41% | 12,933 |
| Cedar | 3,532 | 79.91% | 571 | 12.92% | 317 | 7.17% | 2,961 | 66.99% | 4,420 |
| Chase | 1,648 | 86.83% | 171 | 9.01% | 79 | 4.16% | 1,477 | 77.82% | 1,898 |
| Cherry | 2,623 | 84.12% | 317 | 10.17% | 178 | 5.71% | 2,306 | 73.95% | 3,118 |
| Cheyenne | 3,665 | 77.80% | 711 | 15.09% | 335 | 7.11% | 2,954 | 62.71% | 4,711 |
| Clay | 2,422 | 79.02% | 477 | 15.56% | 166 | 5.42% | 1,945 | 63.46% | 3,065 |
| Colfax | 2,171 | 67.55% | 859 | 26.73% | 184 | 5.72% | 1,312 | 40.82% | 3,214 |
| Cuming | 3,122 | 76.63% | 719 | 17.65% | 233 | 5.72% | 2,403 | 58.98% | 4,074 |
| Custer | 4,695 | 83.07% | 641 | 11.34% | 316 | 5.59% | 4,054 | 71.73% | 5,652 |
| Dakota | 3,616 | 57.59% | 2,314 | 36.85% | 349 | 5.56% | 1,302 | 20.74% | 6,279 |
| Dawes | 2,632 | 71.60% | 801 | 21.79% | 243 | 6.61% | 1,831 | 49.81% | 3,676 |
| Dawson | 5,984 | 69.30% | 2,136 | 24.74% | 515 | 5.96% | 3,848 | 44.56% | 8,635 |
| Deuel | 809 | 82.22% | 120 | 12.20% | 55 | 5.58% | 689 | 70.02% | 984 |
| Dixon | 2,041 | 73.36% | 556 | 19.99% | 185 | 6.65% | 1,485 | 53.37% | 2,782 |
| Dodge | 9,933 | 63.96% | 4,544 | 29.26% | 1,052 | 6.78% | 5,389 | 34.70% | 15,529 |
| Douglas | 108,077 | 44.95% | 113,798 | 47.33% | 18,558 | 7.72% | -5,721 | -2.38% | 240,433 |
| Dundy | 823 | 86.36% | 89 | 9.34% | 41 | 4.30% | 734 | 77.02% | 953 |
| Fillmore | 2,130 | 72.42% | 613 | 20.84% | 198 | 6.74% | 1,517 | 51.58% | 2,941 |
| Franklin | 1,347 | 80.51% | 250 | 14.94% | 76 | 4.55% | 1,097 | 65.57% | 1,673 |
| Frontier | 1,110 | 83.58% | 161 | 12.12% | 57 | 4.30% | 949 | 71.46% | 1,328 |
| Furnas | 1,921 | 82.09% | 304 | 12.99% | 115 | 4.92% | 1,617 | 69.10% | 2,340 |
| Gage | 6,380 | 63.50% | 2,935 | 29.21% | 733 | 7.29% | 3,445 | 34.29% | 10,048 |
| Garden | 869 | 80.84% | 153 | 14.23% | 53 | 4.93% | 716 | 66.61% | 1,075 |
| Garfield | 821 | 83.78% | 121 | 12.35% | 38 | 3.87% | 700 | 71.43% | 980 |
| Gosper | 794 | 78.61% | 166 | 16.44% | 50 | 4.95% | 628 | 62.17% | 1,010 |
| Grant | 367 | 90.62% | 20 | 4.94% | 18 | 4.44% | 347 | 85.68% | 405 |
| Greeley | 912 | 77.62% | 210 | 17.87% | 53 | 4.51% | 702 | 59.75% | 1,175 |
| Hall | 14,408 | 65.31% | 6,282 | 28.48% | 1,370 | 6.21% | 8,126 | 36.83% | 22,060 |
| Hamilton | 3,783 | 75.60% | 878 | 17.55% | 343 | 6.85% | 2,905 | 58.05% | 5,004 |
| Harlan | 1,496 | 81.66% | 254 | 13.86% | 82 | 4.48% | 1,242 | 67.80% | 1,832 |
| Hayes | 472 | 91.83% | 30 | 5.84% | 12 | 2.33% | 442 | 85.99% | 514 |
| Hitchcock | 1,232 | 83.92% | 161 | 10.97% | 75 | 5.11% | 1,071 | 72.95% | 1,468 |
| Holt | 4,354 | 85.07% | 531 | 10.38% | 233 | 4.55% | 3,823 | 74.69% | 5,118 |
| Hooker | 355 | 85.13% | 40 | 9.59% | 22 | 5.28% | 315 | 75.54% | 417 |
| Howard | 2,284 | 76.29% | 544 | 18.17% | 166 | 5.54% | 1,740 | 58.12% | 2,994 |
| Jefferson | 2,399 | 68.66% | 837 | 23.96% | 258 | 7.38% | 1,562 | 44.70% | 3,494 |
| Johnson | 1,355 | 64.86% | 563 | 26.95% | 171 | 8.19% | 792 | 37.91% | 2,089 |
| Kearney | 2,531 | 76.79% | 550 | 16.69% | 215 | 6.52% | 1,981 | 60.10% | 3,296 |
| Keith | 3,235 | 80.19% | 571 | 14.15% | 228 | 5.66% | 2,664 | 66.04% | 4,034 |
| Keya Paha | 460 | 88.63% | 40 | 7.71% | 19 | 3.66% | 420 | 80.92% | 519 |
| Kimball | 1,330 | 79.31% | 230 | 13.71% | 117 | 6.98% | 1,100 | 65.60% | 1,677 |
| Knox | 3,188 | 77.47% | 720 | 17.50% | 207 | 5.03% | 2,468 | 59.97% | 4,115 |
| Lancaster | 61,588 | 45.21% | 61,898 | 45.44% | 12,737 | 9.35% | -310 | -0.23% | 136,223 |
| Lincoln | 12,164 | 75.41% | 2,913 | 18.06% | 1,054 | 6.53% | 9,251 | 57.35% | 16,131 |
| Logan | 400 | 88.30% | 32 | 7.06% | 21 | 4.64% | 368 | 81.24% | 453 |
| Loup | 323 | 83.90% | 48 | 12.47% | 14 | 3.63% | 275 | 71.43% | 385 |
| Madison | 10,628 | 74.10% | 2,711 | 18.90% | 1,004 | 7.00% | 7,917 | 55.20% | 14,343 |
| McPherson | 257 | 89.55% | 14 | 4.88% | 16 | 5.57% | 243 | 84.67% | 287 |
| Merrick | 2,926 | 77.24% | 602 | 15.89% | 260 | 6.87% | 2,324 | 61.35% | 3,788 |
| Morrill | 1,802 | 81.58% | 284 | 12.86% | 123 | 5.56% | 1,518 | 68.72% | 2,209 |
| Nance | 1,261 | 77.79% | 281 | 17.33% | 79 | 4.88% | 980 | 60.46% | 1,621 |
| Nemaha | 2,116 | 66.94% | 785 | 24.83% | 260 | 8.23% | 1,331 | 42.11% | 3,161 |
| Nuckolls | 1,726 | 78.28% | 353 | 16.01% | 126 | 5.71% | 1,373 | 62.27% | 2,205 |
| Otoe | 4,860 | 65.17% | 2,025 | 27.16% | 572 | 7.67% | 2,835 | 38.01% | 7,457 |
| Pawnee | 974 | 73.40% | 279 | 21.02% | 74 | 5.58% | 695 | 52.38% | 1,327 |
| Perkins | 1,217 | 83.64% | 161 | 11.07% | 77 | 5.29% | 1,056 | 72.57% | 1,455 |
| Phelps | 3,849 | 81.98% | 572 | 12.18% | 274 | 5.84% | 3,277 | 69.80% | 4,695 |
| Pierce | 3,052 | 84.08% | 382 | 10.52% | 196 | 5.40% | 2,670 | 73.56% | 3,630 |
| Platte | 10,965 | 75.97% | 2,646 | 18.33% | 822 | 5.70% | 8,319 | 57.64% | 14,433 |
| Polk | 2,028 | 78.54% | 413 | 16.00% | 141 | 5.46% | 1,615 | 62.54% | 2,582 |
| Red Willow | 4,258 | 82.28% | 645 | 12.46% | 272 | 5.26% | 3,613 | 69.82% | 5,175 |
| Richardson | 2,769 | 72.77% | 818 | 21.50% | 218 | 5.73% | 1,951 | 51.27% | 3,805 |
| Rock | 687 | 86.09% | 70 | 8.77% | 41 | 5.14% | 617 | 77.32% | 798 |
| Saline | 3,004 | 58.49% | 1,733 | 33.74% | 399 | 7.77% | 1,271 | 24.75% | 5,136 |
| Sarpy | 45,143 | 56.02% | 28,033 | 34.79% | 7,404 | 9.19% | 17,110 | 21.23% | 80,580 |
| Saunders | 7,555 | 69.57% | 2,523 | 23.23% | 782 | 7.20% | 5,032 | 46.34% | 10,860 |
| Scotts Bluff | 10,076 | 70.38% | 3,207 | 22.40% | 1,034 | 7.22% | 6,869 | 47.98% | 14,317 |
| Seward | 5,454 | 68.85% | 1,875 | 23.67% | 593 | 7.48% | 3,579 | 45.18% | 7,922 |
| Sheridan | 2,211 | 84.78% | 287 | 11.00% | 110 | 4.22% | 1,924 | 73.78% | 2,608 |
| Sherman | 1,150 | 73.11% | 340 | 21.61% | 83 | 5.28% | 810 | 51.50% | 1,573 |
| Sioux | 616 | 83.70% | 81 | 11.01% | 39 | 5.29% | 535 | 72.69% | 736 |
| Stanton | 2,187 | 78.08% | 417 | 14.89% | 197 | 7.03% | 1,770 | 63.19% | 2,801 |
| Thayer | 2,051 | 76.25% | 499 | 18.55% | 140 | 5.20% | 1,552 | 57.70% | 2,690 |
| Thomas | 344 | 87.53% | 30 | 7.63% | 19 | 4.84% | 314 | 79.90% | 393 |
| Thurston | 1,043 | 49.95% | 919 | 44.01% | 126 | 6.04% | 124 | 5.94% | 2,088 |
| Valley | 1,780 | 80.73% | 339 | 15.37% | 86 | 3.90% | 1,441 | 65.36% | 2,205 |
| Washington | 7,424 | 68.54% | 2,623 | 24.22% | 785 | 7.24% | 4,801 | 44.32% | 10,832 |
| Wayne | 2,693 | 71.32% | 835 | 22.11% | 248 | 6.57% | 1,858 | 49.21% | 3,776 |
| Webster | 1,330 | 77.87% | 306 | 17.92% | 72 | 4.21% | 1,024 | 59.95% | 1,708 |
| Wheeler | 377 | 81.08% | 62 | 13.33% | 26 | 5.59% | 315 | 67.75% | 465 |
| York | 4,700 | 73.66% | 1,186 | 18.59% | 495 | 7.75% | 3,514 | 55.07% | 6,381 |
| Totals | 495,961 | 58.75% | 284,494 | 33.70% | 63,777 | 7.55% | 211,467 | 25.05% | 844,232 |
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Trump won all of the state's three congressional districts, winning all of the state's electoral votes.[19]
| District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 56% | 36% | Jeff Fortenberry |
| 2nd | 47% | 45% | Brad Ashford |
| Don Bacon | |||
| 3rd | 74% | 20% | Adrian Smith |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Nebraska
- First presidency of Donald Trump
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums
- 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums
- 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
References
- ^ "Voter turnout in United States elections".
- ^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. September 19, 2019. Retrieved December 14, 2020.
- ^ "Nebraska Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 9, 2017.
- ^ The Green Papers
- ^ Nebraska Secretary of State Election - Official Primary Results
- ^ WRAL: NC approves 27 candidates for presidential primary ballots
- ^ NC State Board of Elections presidential primary candidates' list (preliminary)[permanent dead link]
- ^ "Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 10, 2016". Nebraska Secretary of State. May 10, 2016. Retrieved July 22, 2016.
- ^ a b c "Emerson Poll: Washington State Looks Safe for Democrats in the Presidential and Senate Races; Trump Has a Wide Lead in Nebraska" (PDF). Emerson College. Retrieved September 28, 2016.
- ^ "BACON LEADS ASHFORD IN LATEST POLL". The Singularis Group, LLC. Don Bacon for Congress. May 16, 2016. Archived from the original on September 10, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
- ^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. November 6, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved August 16, 2021.
- ^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. November 7, 2016. Retrieved November 13, 2016.
- ^ "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index".
External links
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Archived 2016-11-08 at the Wayback Machine
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
