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2025 Polish presidential election

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2025 Polish presidential election

← 2020 By 18 May 2025 2030 →
 
JKRUK 20220903 KAROL NAWROCKI MIELEC DSCN8323A.jpg
EPP Congress Bucharest - Day 1 IMG 8903 (53571547784) (cropped).jpg
Szymon Hołownia 31 10 2024.jpg
Candidate Karol Nawrocki Rafał Trzaskowski Szymon Hołownia
Party PiS KO TD

 
Sławomir_Mentzen_Sejm_2022.jpg
Candidate TBD Sławomir Mentzen TBD
Party NL KWiN LR

 
Marek_Jakubiak_Sejm_2016.JPG
Waldemar Witkowski Kancelaria Senatu 2023.jpg
Romuald_Starosielec_2019.jpg
Candidate Marek Jakubiak Waldemar Witkowski Romuald Starosielec
Party WR UP RNP

Incumbent President

Andrzej Duda
PiS



Presidential elections will be held in Poland on 4, 11, or 18 May 2025, though they can be held earlier should the office become vacated as a result of death, resignation or removal from office of the incumbent. Due to constitutional term limits limiting a president to serve only two terms, incumbent president Andrzej Duda is ineligible for re-election. Presidential elections in Poland must take place on a day free from work (Sunday or a holiday) between 75 and 100 days before the term ends.

Electoral system

The president is elected for a five-year term using the two-round system; if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the first round, a run-off is held between the top two candidates. Presidents serve a five-year term and can be re-elected once. The second term of Andrzej Duda expires on 6 August 2025, and the president-elect will take the oath of office on that day, before the National Assembly (a joint session of Sejm and Senate).

Candidate selection

Declared candidates

Name Born Last position/job Party

Szymon Hołownia

3 September 1976 (48)

Białystok, Podlaskie

Marshal of the Sejm (2023–present)

Member of the Sejm (2023–present)

Third Way

Marek Jakubiak

30 April 1959 (61)

Warsaw, Masovian

Leader of Federation for the Republic (2018–present)

Member of the Sejm (2015–2019, 2023-present)

Free Republicans

Sławomir Mentzen

20 November 1986 (38)

Toruń, Kuyavian–Pomeranian

Chairman of New Hope (2022–present)

Member of the Sejm (2023–present)

Confederation

Karol Nawrocki

3 March 1983 (42)

Gdańsk, Pomerania

President of the Institute of National Remembrance (2021–present)

Director of the Museum of the Second World War (2017–2021)

Law and Justice

Romuald Starosielec

21 September 1960 (64)

Biała Podlaska, Lublin

Leader of Repair Poland (2023–present) Repair Poland

Rafał Trzaskowski

17 January 1972 (53)

Warsaw, Masovian

Mayor of Warsaw (2018–present)

2020 Polish presidential election second round

Civic Coalition

Waldemar Witkowski

29 October 1953 (71)

Poznań, Greater Poland

Leader of Labour Union (2006–present)

Member of the Greater Poland Sejmik (2006–2023)

Labour Union

Other declared candidates

Prosperity and Peace Movement

Nonpartisan Local Government Activists

Potential candidates

New Left

Left Together

Independents

Declined

Law and Justice

Civic Platform

Third Way

Independents

Opinion polls

Graphical summary

1st round

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Błaszczak
PiS
Bocheński
PiS
Czarnek
PiS
Jaki
PiS
Morawiecki
PiS
Nawrocki
PiS
Witek
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Trzaskowski
PO
Tusk
PO
Hołownia
PL2050
Kosiniak-Kamysz
PSL
Biedroń
NL
Dziemianowicz-Bąk
NL
Biejat
Razem/NL
Zandberg
Razem
Bosak
Confederation
Mentzen
Confederation
Jakubiak
WR
Others Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 10–11 Dec 2024 1,005 28.70 41.96 10.67 3.26 12.68 2.73 13.26
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 2024 1,000 30.3 36.9 7.9 4.8 7.3 0.5 12.3 6.6
SW Research / Wprost Nov 2024 13.1 38.6 8.5 11.8 3.7 24.2 25.5
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 21 35 10 4 11 4 15 14
Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 2024 26 41 9 12 8 4 15
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 2024 1,000 24.5 40.4 9.2 7.5 10.7 2.2 5.5 15.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 2024 1,000 27.8 35.8 10.9 5.1 9.9 10.5 8.0
28.9 32.3 12.0 6.7 9.8 10.3 3.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Nov 2024 1,000 27.2 34.8 10.6 6.5 10.7 2.2 8.0 7.6
27.5 29.4 10.5 8.5 11.5 2.0 10.6 1.9
United Surveys / WP.pl 11–13 Oct 2024 1,000 26.6 39.4 11.4 5.9 9.3 7.4 12.8
26.0 25.5 15.1 8.5 13.0 11.9 0.5
IBRiS / Rzeczpospolita 11–12 Oct 2024 1,071 22.2 34.2 10.2 7.7 8.6 3.7[a] 13.4 12.0
IBRiS / Onet 10 Sep 2024 1,000 26.4 33.0 8.8 4.9 8.4 4.1[b] 14.3 6.6
23.8 32.9 8.6 4.9 8.1 7.6[c] 14.0 9.1
17.2 34.8 8.8 4.9 9.2 7.3[d] 17.7 17.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jul 2024 1,000 27.6 32.4 11.2 7.9 15.6 5.3 4.8
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 26–28 Jul 2024 1,000 29.3 34.8 10.1 8.4 7.9 2.0 7.4 5.5
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 2024 1,000 27 33 11 7 13 9 6
28 32 11 6 15 8 4
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Jun 2024 1,000 24.8 29.2 13.6 2.6 6.6 7.1[e] 16.1 4.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 May 2024 1,000 25.6 29.2 10.2 3.4 7.9 8.2[f] 15.5 3.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 May 2024 1,000 25.5 29.6 13.8 4.4 9.3 17.4 4.1
OGB / Stan Polityki 22–25 Apr 2024 804 7.20 26.15 29.34 5.77 12.74 3.42 1.22 1.55 6.71 5.90 3.19
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–7 Apr 2024 1,000 22.4 29.0 17.1 3.3 3.8 4.7 8.6[g] 11.2 6.6
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 22–26 Feb 2024 1,000 25 26 16 4 10 3[h] 9 1
United Surveys / WP.pl 23–25 Feb 2024 1,000 25.9 30.8 23.1 4.5 8.0 7.7 4.9
Pollster / SE.pl 11 Feb 2024 1,060 20.92 32.53 25.21 5.45 2.65 7.66 5.58[i] 7.32
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–11 Feb 2024 1,000 24.3 22.2 24.8 1.3 1.9 6.5 9.0[j] 10.0 0.5
IBRiS / Radio Zet 9–10 Feb 2024 1,070 16.1 28.3 24.0 5.2[k] 26.4 4.3
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 Jan 2024 1,070 24.9 25.8 24.6 4.3 3.5 8.0 8.9 0.9
Pollster / SE.pl 17 Dec 2023 1,033 27 30 20 5 18 3
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 8–10 Dec 2023 1,000 2.6 9.9 1.2 24.5 0.9 11.9 1.2 2.7 2.2 1.6 33.1[l] 6.6 12.6
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Nov 2023 29.9 34.6 11.7 6.3 7.2 1.5[m] 8.9 4.7
21.4 25.6 16.7 8.6 8.0 8.0 11.7 4.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Nov 2023 1,000 19.0 33.8 13.4 4.5 8.3 18.3[n] 2.7 14.8

2nd round

Nawrocki v. Trzaskowski

LOESS curve for the 2025 Polish Presidential Election 2nd Round.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Abstain Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 2024 1,000 41.2 50.3 6.1 2.4 9.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 42 58 16
Opinia24 / TVN24 Nov 2024 41 52 7 11
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 2024 1,000 33.7 55.9 6.8 3.6 22.2
IBRiS / "Rz" 22–23 Nov 2024 1,068 26.2 49.7 12.3 11.8 23.5
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 36.4 49.99 13.8 13.61
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 37.6 55.8 6.6 18.2

Hołownia v. Nawrocki

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Nawrocki
PiS
Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 58 42 16

Hołownia v. Trzaskowski

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Hołownia
PL2050
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 2024 1,015 33 67 34
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 29.5 51.6 18.9 22.1

Hypothetical polling

Hypothetical polling with different PiS candidate
Bocheński v. Trzaskowski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Bocheński
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
OGB / Stan Polityki 22–25 Apr 2024 804 44.59 55.41 10.82
Czarnek v. Trzaskowski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Czarnek
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 35.2 50.9 15.9 15.7
Jaki v. Trzaskowski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Jaki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 2024 1,000 39 49 12 10
Morawiecki v. Trzaskowski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Morawiecki
PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
IPSOS / DoRzeczy.pl 1–3 Jul 2024 1,000 38 48 14 10
Pollster 15 Jun 2024 38 62 24
PiS candidate v. Trzaskowski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size

PiS
Trzaskowski
PO
Don't know Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 2024 1,000 39.2 58.5 2.3 19.3
IPSOS / PO ? ? 36 53 8 17
Hypothetical polling with Radosław Sikorski as KO candidate
Nawrocki v. Sikorski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nawrocki
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 36.3 46.7 16.9 10.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 38.3 54.1 7.6 15.8
Czarnek v. Sikorski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Czarnek
PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't know Lead
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 7–9 Nov 2024 1,000 35.3 46.5 18.3 11.2
PiS candidate v. Sikorski
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date
Sample
size

PiS
Sikorski
PO
Don't know Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 21 Nov 2024 1,000 42.4 54.9 2.7 12.5

Notes

  1. ^ Paulina Matysiak (Razem) – 3.7
  2. ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 4.1
  3. ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.6
  4. ^ Jacek Siewiera (ind.) – 7.3
  5. ^ Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 7.1
  6. ^ Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 8.2
  7. ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 8.6
  8. ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3
  9. ^ Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 1.89, Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 1.11
  10. ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 9.0
  11. ^ Krzysztof Stanowski (ind.) – 3.2, Dorota Gawryluk [pl] (ind.) – 0.2
  12. ^ Adam Bodnar (ind.) – 1.4, Kacper Płażyński (PiS) – 1.3, Jarosław Kaczyński (PiS) – 1.3
  13. ^ Joanna Scheuring-Wielgus (NL) – 1.5
  14. ^ Beata Szydło (PiS) – 7.7

References

  1. ^ Maciak, Maciej (26 November 2024). Musisz to wiedzieć ([odc.] 1882) [You need to know this ([ep.] 1882)] (Video) (in Polish). Event occurs at 0:00:20. Archived from the original on 5 December 2024. Retrieved 5 December 2024 – via YouTube. Podjąłem decyzję[,] że startuję w wyborach na funkcję prezydenta kraju [...] [I have made the decision[,] that I am running for president of the country [...].]
  2. ^ "Poznaliśmy kolejnego kandydata na prezydenta. Kim jest Marek Woch?". 2024-12-14. Retrieved 2024-12-14.
  3. ^ "Sondaż prezydencki IBSP. Trzaskowski i Hołownia w drugiej turze. Porażka Beaty Szydło - Wiadomości". wiadomosci.radiozet.pl (in Polish). 16 February 2021. Archived from the original on 2021-02-16. Retrieved 2021-05-05.
  4. ^ "Magdalena Biejat". Senate of Poland (in Polish). Archived from the original on 8 April 2024. Retrieved 14 August 2024.
  5. ^ "Czarzasty: Magdalena Biejat może być jedną z kandydatek na prezydenta". Bankier.pl (in Polish). 2024-04-08. Retrieved 2024-08-13.
  6. ^ a b c "Nowy sondaż dla "Rzeczpospolitej". Jest jeden faworyt wyborów prezydenckich". Rzeczpospolita (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-10-16.
  7. ^ "Czy Lewica przegrała rzeczywiście przez współpracę z Tuskiem?". Galopujący major (in Polish). 2024-04-08. Retrieved 2024-04-17.
  8. ^ ""Prawie prawybory". Kto zostanie kandydatką Lewicy na prezydenta? Biejat, Dziemianowicz-Bąk, Kotula?". oko.press (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-11-29.
  9. ^ "Zandberg czy Matysiak? Kto kandydatem Razem w wyborach prezydenckich 2025? • Wszystko co najważniejsze". Wszystko co najważniejsze (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-10-29.
  10. ^ "Lider partii Razem uderza w premiera Tuska. "Zajmuje się pisaniem sucharów"". Onet Wiadomości (in Polish). 2024-10-27. Retrieved 2024-10-29.
  11. ^ Hartman, Jan Marek [@JanHartman1] (5 February 2024). "Rozważam start w wyborach prezydenckich. Poszukuję sponsora oraz niedrogiego specjalisty od TikToka. Tylko poważne propozycje" [I am considering running for president. I am looking for a sponsor and an affordable TikTok specialist. Serious proposals only.] (Tweet) (in Polish). Archived from the original on 11 December 2024. Retrieved 11 December 2024 – via Twitter.
  12. ^ Bagińska, Sylwia (23 April 2022). "[Sylwia] Spurek wystartuje? "Polska zasługuje na prezydentkę feministkę i wegankę"" [[Sylwia] Spurek will run? "Poland deserves a feminist and vegan president"]. Wirtualna Polska (in Polish). Archived from the original on 23 April 2022. Retrieved 11 December 2024.
  13. ^ "Niektórzy z nich byli w Parlamencie Europejskim 20 lat. Tych nazwisk zabraknie na listach". Onet Wiadomości (in Polish). 2024-04-30. Retrieved 2024-08-14.
  14. ^ "Kandydat PiS na prezydenta. Przy Nowogrodzkiej padło nowe nazwisko [NASZ NEWS]". www.newsweek.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-29.
  15. ^ Witczak, Justyna (29 August 2024). "Nowe nazwisko w puli kandydatów PiS na prezydenta? Były sportowiec wydał oświadczenie" [A new name in the pool of PiS [Law and Justice] candidates for president? The former sportsman issued a statement]. Wprost (in Polish). Archived from the original on 29 August 2024. Retrieved 23 September 2024.
  16. ^ "Tusk wystartuje w wyborach prezydenckich? "Podjąłem decyzję"". www.tvp.info (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-13.
  17. ^ "Radosław Sikorski kontra Rafał Trzaskowski. Wiemy, kto wygrał prawybory w KO" [Radosław Sikorski v. Rafał Trzaskowski. We know who won the KO [Civic Coalition] presidential primary]. Rzeczpospolita (in Polish). 23 November 2024. Archived from the original on 23 November 2024. Retrieved 23 November 2024.
  18. ^ "Kto kandydatem Trzeciej Drogi na prezydenta? Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz wymienił tylko jedno nazwisko". Rzeczpospolita (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-13.
  19. ^ "Lider PSL o kandydacie Trzeciej Drogi na prezydenta. "Wszystko na to wskazuje"" [PSL leader on Third Way presidential candidate. "Everything points to it"]. www.pap.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 13 August 2024.
  20. ^ "Dorota Gawryluk wydaje oświadczenie. To reakcja na prezydenckie sondaże z jej nazwiskiem" [Dorota Gawryluk issues a statement. It's a reaction to the presidential poll with her name on it]. www.pap.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 13 August 2024.
  21. ^ "Jacek Siewiera kandydatem na prezydenta? Szef BBN odpowiada". TVN24 (in Polish). Retrieved 2024-08-13.
  22. ^ "Gen. Rajmund Andrzejczak kandydatem na prezydenta? Jest jasna deklaracja" [Gen. Rajmund Andrzejczak a presidential candidate? There is a clear declaration]. Rzeczpospolita (in Polish). Archived from the original on 1 March 2024. Retrieved 13 August 2024. O zamiar kandydowania w wyborach prezydenckich generał rezerwy został zapytany w piątek w RMF FM. — Nie jestem zawodowym politykiem (...) Jestem zawodowym oficerem — odparł wojskowy. — Na pewno nie — mówił, dopytywany o jasną deklarację w sprawie startu. [The reserve general was asked about his intention to run in the presidential elections on Friday on RMF FM. "I am not a professional politician (...) I am a professional officer," the military man replied. "Certainly not," he said, when asked about a clear declaration regarding his participation.]