1996 Indian general election in Andhra Pradesh: Difference between revisions
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| election_date = April–May 1996 |
| election_date = April–May 1996 |
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| seats_for_election = 42 seats |
| seats_for_election = 42 seats |
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| image1 =[[File:Konijeti Rosaiah BNC.jpg|120px]] |
| image1 = [[File:Konijeti Rosaiah BNC.jpg|120px]] |
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| leader1 = [[Konijeti Rosaiah]] |
| leader1 = [[Konijeti Rosaiah]] |
||
| leaders_seat1 = None |
| leaders_seat1 = None |
||
| party1 = Indian National Congress |
| party1 = Indian National Congress |
||
| alliance1 = Congress alliance |
| alliance1 = Congress alliance |
||
| seats1 = 22 |
| seats1 = 22 |
||
| seat_change1 = |
| seat_change1 = {{decrease}}3 |
||
| popular_vote1 = 12,087,596 |
| popular_vote1 = 12,087,596 |
||
| percentage1 = 39.66% |
| percentage1 = 39.66% |
||
| swing1 = - |
| swing1 = - |
||
| last_election1=25 |
| last_election1 = 25 |
||
| last_election2=13 |
| last_election2 = 13 |
||
| last_election3=new party |
| last_election3 = new party |
||
| image2 =[[File:N. Chandrababu Naidu.jpg| |
| image2 = [[File:N. Chandrababu Naidu.jpg|121px]] |
||
| leader2 = [[Chandrababu Naidu]] |
| leader2 = [[Chandrababu Naidu]] |
||
| party2 = Telugu Desam Party |
| party2 = Telugu Desam Party |
||
| alliance2 = United Front (India) |
| alliance2 = United Front (India) |
||
| leaders_seat2 = None |
| leaders_seat2 = None |
||
| seats2 = 16 |
| seats2 = 16 |
||
| seat_change2 = |
| seat_change2 = {{increase}}3 |
||
| popular_vote2 = 11,548,398 |
| popular_vote2 = 11,548,398 |
||
| percentage2 = 37.89% |
| percentage2 = 37.89% |
||
| swing2 = {{increase}}1.33 |
| swing2 = {{increase}}1.33 |
||
| image3 = [[File:Lakshmiparvathi.jpeg| |
| image3 = [[File:Lakshmiparvathi.jpeg|98px]] |
||
| leader3 = |
| leader3 = [[NTR Telugu Desam Party (Lakshmi Parvathi)|Lakshmi Parvathi]] |
||
| party3 = NTR Telugu Desam Party (Lakshmi Parvathi) |
| party3 = NTR Telugu Desam Party (Lakshmi Parvathi) |
||
| alliance3 = Nonpartisan candidate |
| alliance3 = Nonpartisan candidate |
||
| leaders_seat3 = None |
| leaders_seat3 = None |
||
| seats3 = 0 |
| seats3 = 0 |
||
| seat_change3 = - |
| seat_change3 = - |
||
| popular_vote3 = 3,249,267 |
| popular_vote3 = 3,249,267 |
||
| percentage3 = 10.66% |
| percentage3 = 10.66% |
||
| swing3 = |
| swing3 = {{increase}}10.66% |
||
| map_image = Andhra Pradesh in India (1956-2014).png |
| map_image = Andhra Pradesh in India (1956-2014).png |
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| map_size = 200px |
| map_size = 200px |
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| Line 55: | Line 55: | ||
| after_election = |
| after_election = |
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| after_party = Indian National Congress |
| after_party = Indian National Congress |
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}} |
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| ⚫ | |||
| ⚫ | The [[1996 Indian general election]] polls in [[United Andhra Pradesh]] were held for 42 seats in the state. The result was a victory for the [[Indian National Congress]] which won 22 out of 42 seats.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.eci.gov.in/past-elections-statistics/|title=Past Election Results|website=Election Commission of India|language=en-IN|access-date=2019-05-20}}</ref> This was the first election contested by the TDP since its leader [[Nara Chandrababu Naidu|Chandrababu Naidu]] ousted the party founder [[Nandamuri Taraka Rama Rao|N. T. Rama Rao]] in a palace coup in August 1995 and the latter's untimely death a few months later. |
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== Background == |
== Background == |
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=== Others === |
=== Others === |
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Other political parties |
Other political parties had no significant extent in the state. The [[Bharatiya Janata Party]] (BJP) and the [[Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen]] (MIM) were restricted to the twin cities of [[Hyderabad]]–[[Secunderabad]]. The BJP, despite contesting in 40 constituencies in the 1991 general elections, was able to win only in Secunderabad. However, it received a considerable amount of vote share in the state, particularly in the [[Telangana]] region. The Janata Dal was deteriorated of its support base.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2453}} |
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== Candidates == |
== Candidates == |
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| Line 304: | Line 306: | ||
== Analysis == |
== Analysis == |
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| ⚫ | The election, which marked the first to be held after NTR's death, served as the battle ground between Naidu-led and Parvathi-led TDP factions to seize NTR's remnant political influence. Naidu's decision to sustain prohibition and subsidised rice scheme, both of which being NTR's populist welfare policies, paid off leading him to the victory over the Parvathi's faction in the election.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2453}} |
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=== Party-wise analysis === |
|||
| ⚫ | The election, which marked the first to be held after NTR's death, served as the battle ground between Naidu-led and Parvathi-led TDP factions to seize NTR's remnant political influence. Naidu's decision to sustain prohibition and subsidised rice scheme, both of which being NTR's populist welfare policies, paid off leading him to the victory over the Parvathi's faction in the election.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2453}} The TDPN and its allies, CPI and CPI(M), secured 37.9 percent of the votes totalling 19 seats (16 TDP, 2 CPI, 1 CPI(M)) and managed to assert its dominance over TDPLP which secured 10.6 percent of vote share albeit winning no seats. {{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} |
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Securing 39.7 percent of the vote share with 22 seats, the Congress party performed remarkably well given its rather poor performance across the country.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} Scholars attribute this phenomenon to the voters of the state reacting historically divergent from national politics; the state's electoral politics had been so distinct compared to other parts in the country that the strategies and forecasts had to be mended to suit such needs.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} The pre-poll forecasts put Congress to have a clean sweep in the state given that it won 31 of the 42 seats in the [[1991 Indian general election|1991 general election]] and thus winning only 22 seats was seen inadequate.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} Had the TDP not split and contested in conjunction, scholars argue, it would have won 43.2 percent vote share (32.6 TDPN, 10.6 TDPLP{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2452}}), a figure almost equal to what the it secured (43.3 percent{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2452}}) in [[1994 Andhra Pradesh Legislative Assembly election|1994 Legislative Assembly election]].{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} This would have ended Congress with only 6 seats. Thus, scholars argue the Congress party is the principal gainer of the clash between the two TDP factions.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} |
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MIM held the contentious constituency of Hyderabad, the state's capital. BJP lost its only seat to Congress. Analysis of the voting patterns in the Hyderabad region indicated that MIM had a robust support base in the urban area of the city and BJP held sway in the rural region often on the account of the TDP split.{{Sfn|Srinivasulu|Sarangi|1999|p=2454}} |
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== See also == |
== See also == |
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The 1996 Indian general election polls in United Andhra Pradesh were held for 42 seats in the state. The result was a victory for the Indian National Congress which won 22 out of 42 seats.[1] This was the first election contested by the TDP since its leader Chandrababu Naidu ousted the party founder N. T. Rama Rao in a palace coup in August 1995 and the latter's untimely death a few months later.
Background
In August 1995, Nara Chandrababu Naidu overthrew the Government of Andhra Pradesh formed by the actor-turned-politician N. T. Rama Rao (NTR) in a coup d'état. With the support of 190 MLAs and NTR's family, Naidu forced NTR to resign and formed his own government. This led to a division in the Telugu Desam Party, founded by NTR, splitting in two camps – Telugu Desam Party (NTR) (TDP (NTR)) and Telugu Desam Party (Naidu) (TDPN) – the former headed by NTR and the later by Chandrababu Naidu, who is also the son-in-law to NTR.[2][3]
Parties and alliances
Telugu Desam Party (Lakshmi Parvathi)
Following NTR's death on 18 January 1996, the TDP (NTR) fell into the hands of his second-wife, Lakshmi Parvathi. The party was renamed Telugu Desam Party (Lakshmi Parvathi) (TDPLP).[2][3] Janata Dal, a member of the National Front coalition, supported her campaign largely as a sign of commemorating NTR, who headed the coalition.[3][4]
Telugu Desam Party (Naidu)
Nara Chandrababu Naidu saw this election as an opportunity to cement his credibility and legitimacy as the political successor to NTR. It also marked the first time Naidu leading his party into an election and had high stakes for the party's future. The Election Commission of India acknowledged his faction as the authentic Telugu Desam Party and assigned the bicycle symbol that the original TDP used. The left parties – Communist Party of India (CPI) and Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPIM) – which were allies with TDP since 1984, allied with TDPN.[4]
Congress(I)
The Indian National Congress maintained a monopoly in the power structure in the state since its inception in 1956 until 1983 when NTR-led TDP won the 1983 Assembly elections.[5] The sudden death of NTR followed by the split in TDP into TDPN and TDPLP significantly increased the opportunities for the Indian National Congress (I), led by Indira Gandhi. The party's strategy to retain power at the national level relied on securing a considerable proportion of seats from the state. Congress sustained a reliable support in the state, in the form of one-third voters being its supporters, during the NTR-era since 1983 led to confidence buildup among its leadership of victory in the elections that the party made little effort to reconcile its internal differences. The then Prime Minister P. V. Narasimha Rao hailed from the state and thus raised the stakes of the political future for the party in the state.[6]
Others
Other political parties had no significant extent in the state. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (MIM) were restricted to the twin cities of Hyderabad–Secunderabad. The BJP, despite contesting in 40 constituencies in the 1991 general elections, was able to win only in Secunderabad. However, it received a considerable amount of vote share in the state, particularly in the Telangana region. The Janata Dal was deteriorated of its support base.[6]
Candidates
Caste formed one of the fundamental criteria in the selection of the candidates.[7] Out of 42 seats, 34 are in the general category with the rest being reserved. The Congress nominated 12 candidates, in the general category, belonging to the Reddys. The TDPLP nominated 12 Kammas and 10 Reddys and was thus perceived as an upper caste party. The TDPN, apart from nominating several Reddys and Kammas, followed the NTR's strategy of enticing the Other Backward Class (OBC), who accounted for 44 percent in the state's population, and nominated 9 OBC candidates.[7]
The Congress and the TDP considered caste considerations in nominations while the TDPLP chose to nominate the wealthy and influential candidates of the forward castes in constituencies where they are not dominant, even though the OBCs were considered to play a key role in the battle between the two TDP factions. Scholars argue that the TDPLP lacked any political strategy and sought candidates who held more sway in their respective constituencies.[7]
Campaign
Lakshmi Parvathi's campaign
Akin to NTR's political journey, she started her campaign in Tirupati aboard "Taraka Rama Chaitanya Ratham", a campaign vehicle resembling the popular "Chaitanya Ratham" used by NTR, and toured around the state. Her oratorial skills drawing huge crowds to her campaign despite of a lack of charisma that NTR commanded. She portrayed the coup as an injustice to NTR and called upon the electorate to defeat the "back-stabbers" in the polls. She used the metaphor "Naraasura Samhaaram" (transl. killing of demon named Nara), referring to Nara Chandrababu Naidu. The emotional appeal of playing a voice recording of NTR, in which he refers to Naidu and the MLAs who backed him during the coup as "traitors", was often employed.[4]
She presented herself as "anti-Naidu" but never as "anti-Congress", one of the main ideologies of NTR. This led to speculations that she would support Congress after the elections. Observing the response to her campaign and the sympathy she had gained among the populace following NTR's death, political analysts predicted her decisive victory in the elections. As time progressed, her party witnessed a significant exodus of politicians who played a major role in facilitating NTR's politics down at the local level. There were also hardly any competent leaders at the mid-level in the party.[4]
Chandrababu Naidu's campaign
Naidu's strategy involved thorough planning and its execution. He spared no effort to showcase his association with NTR and his policies. Rhetoric involving NTR's pictures was widely deployed as a tool to appeal to the voter-base. NTR's speeches in which he praised Naidu were cherrypicked and played throughout the campaign. One such recordings was from 1984, when NTR was re-instated as the chief minister after the coup, and lauded Naidu for his immense efforts made to reinstate him, was the most often used.[4]
Naidu fell short of Parvathi in terms of diction and crowd-pulling capabilities. To counter this, he used the medium of satellite television networks and thus expanded his reach into the far-flung communities. He directed the MLAs of his party into active campaigning supervision in their respective constituencies. He made all efforts to portray to the public that he was maintaining the populist welfare policies that NTR put into action.[4]
Congress' campaign
The Congress party displayed clear signs of complacency. The party did not announce any new initiatives and suffered from the lack of any captivating leader. It was constantly hampered by internal divisions and the rivalry between them which at times lead to suspensions of several high-ranking members. Scholars studying the election and the proceedings surrounding it argue that the party was merely anticipating to reap the benefits arising out of the conflict between the two TDP divisions – TDPLP and TDPN;[7] they inferred that projections in India Today of winning 40 seats if the party was able to sustain its support base from the previous general election held in 1991 in the state,[8] further fuelled its overconfidence.[7]
Voting and results
Results by alliance
| INC | SEATS | NF | SEATS | OTHERS | SEATS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INC | 22 | TDP | 16 | AIMIM | 1 |
| CPI | 2 | NTRTDP(LP) | 0 | ||
| CPI(M) | 1 | ||||
| TOTAL (1996) | 22 | TOTAL (1996) | 19 | TOTAL (1996) | 1 |
| TOTAL (1991) | n/a | TOTAL (1991) | n/a | TOTAL (1991) | n/a |
Analysis
Party-wise analysis
The election, which marked the first to be held after NTR's death, served as the battle ground between Naidu-led and Parvathi-led TDP factions to seize NTR's remnant political influence. Naidu's decision to sustain prohibition and subsidised rice scheme, both of which being NTR's populist welfare policies, paid off leading him to the victory over the Parvathi's faction in the election.[6] The TDPN and its allies, CPI and CPI(M), secured 37.9 percent of the votes totalling 19 seats (16 TDP, 2 CPI, 1 CPI(M)) and managed to assert its dominance over TDPLP which secured 10.6 percent of vote share albeit winning no seats. [7]
Securing 39.7 percent of the vote share with 22 seats, the Congress party performed remarkably well given its rather poor performance across the country.[7] Scholars attribute this phenomenon to the voters of the state reacting historically divergent from national politics; the state's electoral politics had been so distinct compared to other parts in the country that the strategies and forecasts had to be mended to suit such needs.[7] The pre-poll forecasts put Congress to have a clean sweep in the state given that it won 31 of the 42 seats in the 1991 general election and thus winning only 22 seats was seen inadequate.[7] Had the TDP not split and contested in conjunction, scholars argue, it would have won 43.2 percent vote share (32.6 TDPN, 10.6 TDPLP[2]), a figure almost equal to what the it secured (43.3 percent[2]) in 1994 Legislative Assembly election.[7] This would have ended Congress with only 6 seats. Thus, scholars argue the Congress party is the principal gainer of the clash between the two TDP factions.[7]
MIM held the contentious constituency of Hyderabad, the state's capital. BJP lost its only seat to Congress. Analysis of the voting patterns in the Hyderabad region indicated that MIM had a robust support base in the urban area of the city and BJP held sway in the rural region often on the account of the TDP split.[7]
See also
References
- ^ "Past Election Results". Election Commission of India. Retrieved 20 May 2019.
- ^ a b c d Srinivasulu & Sarangi 1999, p. 2452.
- ^ a b c Menon, Vandana (9 March 2018). "Founded by movie legend NTR, Telugu Desam Party has always punched above its weight". ThePrint. Retrieved 23 April 2023.
- ^ a b c d e f Srinivasulu & Sarangi 1999, pp. 2452–3.
- ^ Srinivasulu & Sarangi 1999, p. 2450.
- ^ a b c Srinivasulu & Sarangi 1999, p. 2453.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l Srinivasulu & Sarangi 1999, pp. 2454. Cite error: The named reference "FOOTNOTESrinivasuluSarangi19992454" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
- ^ "ANDHRA PRADESH TDP split could benefit the Congress(I) significantly". India Today. 30 April 1996. Retrieved 15 May 2023.
Bibliography
- Srinivasulu, K.; Sarangi, Prakash (1999). "Political Realignments in Post-NTR Andhra Pradesh". Economic and Political Weekly. 34 (34/35): 2449–2458. ISSN 0012-9976 – via JSTOR.