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At 06:00 UTC on December 9, the [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]] (JTWC) started to monitor a low-latitude area of convection in the Pacific Ocean at {{Coord|4.6|N|142.4|E|name=}}, located about {{convert|350|nmi}} to [[Palau]]'s east-southeast. A broad circulation was identified by the agency, with flaring convection over it. The circulation had a marginal environment with low to moderate [[wind shear]], fair [[Outflow (meteorology)|outflow]], and warm [[sea surface temperatures]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 090600Z-100600Z December 2021|date=December 9, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Despite its given environment, however, the disturbance failed to intensify and dissipated by 06:00 UTC the next day. Another new [[low-pressure area|area of low pressure]] formed on December 10, near the location of the previous disturbance. Analysis on the system revealed a degraded and disorganized [[low-level circulation center]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 092200Z-100600Z December 2021|date=December 9, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 100600Z-110600Z December 2021|date=December 10, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Position fixes by 02:30 UTC on December 11 determined that its center had shifted to the north over a developing [[Trough (meteorology)|surface trough]], while convective bursts occurred around the system.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 110230Z-110600Z December 2021|date=December 11, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> An ASCAT pass featured below gale-force winds on its northwest quadrant.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 110600Z-120600Z December 2021|date=December 11, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref>[[File:Rai 2021-12-18 0750Z.jpg|thumb|right|Typhoon Rai re-intensifying in the South China Sea on the evening of December 18.]]
At 06:00 UTC on December 9, the [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]] (JTWC) started to monitor a low-latitude area of convection in the Pacific Ocean at {{Coord|4.6|N|142.4|E|name=}}, located about {{convert|350|nmi}} to [[Palau]]'s east-southeast. A broad circulation was identified by the agency, with flaring convection over it. The circulation had a marginal environment with low to moderate [[wind shear]], fair [[Outflow (meteorology)|outflow]], and warm [[sea surface temperatures]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 090600Z-100600Z December 2021|date=December 9, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Despite its given environment, however, the disturbance failed to intensify and dissipated by 06:00 UTC the next day. Another new [[low-pressure area|area of low pressure]] formed on December 10, near the location of the previous disturbance. Analysis on the system revealed a degraded and disorganized [[low-level circulation center]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 092200Z-100600Z December 2021|date=December 9, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 100600Z-110600Z December 2021|date=December 10, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Position fixes by 02:30 UTC on December 11 determined that its center had shifted to the north over a developing [[Trough (meteorology)|surface trough]], while convective bursts occurred around the system.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 110230Z-110600Z December 2021|date=December 11, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> An ASCAT pass featured below gale-force winds on its northwest quadrant.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 110600Z-120600Z December 2021|date=December 11, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref>[[File:Rai 2021-12-18 0750Z.jpg|thumb|right|Typhoon Rai re-intensifying in the South China Sea on the evening of December 18.]]


The [[Japan Meteorological Agency]] (JMA){{#tag:ref|The [[Japan Meteorological Agency]] is the official [[Regional Specialized Meteorological Center]] for the western Pacific Ocean.<ref>{{cite web|publisher=Japan Meteorological Agency|title=Annual Report on Activities of the RSMC Tokyo &ndash; Typhoon Center 2000|date=February 2001|access-date=March 26, 2014|url=http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/AnnualReport/2000/Text/Text2000.pdf|page=3|archive-date=October 31, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151031002308/http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/AnnualReport/2000/Text/Text2000.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>|group="nb"}} first upgraded the system to a tropical depression with winds of {{convert|55|km/h|mph|abbr=on|round=5}},{{#tag:ref|Wind estimates from the JMA and most other basins throughout the world are [[maximum sustained winds|sustained]] over 10&nbsp;minutes, while estimates from the United States-based Joint Typhoon Warning Center are sustained over 1&nbsp;minute. 10&nbsp;minute winds are about 1.14&nbsp;times the amount of 1&nbsp;minute winds.<ref name="FAQD4">{{cite book|author=Christopher W Landsea|author2=Hurricane Research Division|title=Frequently Asked Questions|chapter=Subject: D4) What does "maximum sustained wind" mean? How does it relate to gusts in tropical cyclones?|access-date=April 10, 2014|publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory|url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html|date=April 26, 2004|archive-date=May 19, 2009|archive-url=https://www.webcitation.org/5gsJuFzTf?url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html|url-status=live}}</ref>|group="nb"}} at 00:00 UTC on the next day, followed by the JTWC upgrading the storm's chances of developing to "high" and subsequently issuing a TCFA.<ref>{{cite web|date=December 12, 2021|title=WWJP25 RJTD 120000|url=https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20211212/000000/A_WWJP25RJTD120000_C_RJTD_20211212023332_86.txt|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211212063124/https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20211212/000000/A_WWJP25RJTD120000_C_RJTD_20211212023332_86.txt|archive-date=December 12, 2021|access-date=December 12, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|location=Tokyo, Japan}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 120330Z-120600Z December 2021|date=December 12, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9621web.txt|title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 96W)|date=December 12, 2021|publisher=United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20210703202801/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9621web.txt|archive-date=July 3, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> By 03:00 UTC on December 13, the JTWC upgraded the system to a weak tropical depression, highly based on [[Dvorak technique|Dvorak ratings]] of T1.5.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Depression 28W (Twentyeight) Warning NR 001|date=December 13, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 13, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213030529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Nine hours later, the JMA classified the system as a tropical storm based on Dvorak ratings and named the storm ''Rai''.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|title=RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 7 for TS 2122 Rai (2122)|date=December 13, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213152755/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref> It was not until 15:00 UTC that day when the JTWC upgraded Rai to a tropical storm, as it began tracking northwestward.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 003|date=December 13, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213152959/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Three hours later, Rai began to pass south of Ngulu State, while continuing to intensify and organize.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Tropical Storm Rai (28W) Intermediate Advisory Number 3A|url=https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GUM|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/CA9o8|archive-date=December 13, 2021|access-date=December 13, 2021|website=forecast.weather.gov|publisher=National Weather Service, Tiyan}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Tropical Storm Rai (28W) Intermediate Advisory Number 4|url=https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GUM|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/TJ5w2|archive-date=December 13, 2021|access-date=December 13, 2021|website=forecast.weather.gov|publisher=National Weather Service, Tiyan}}</ref> By December 14 in the early morning, the system was upgraded to a severe tropical storm by the JMA.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|title=RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 9 for STS 2122 Rai (2122)|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211214025255/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|archive-date=December 14, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref> By 09:00 UTC, the JTWC noted that the system's cloud tops became warm; however, it further organized while tracking towards the small island country of Palau.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 006|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211214090955/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 14, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> The storm entered the [[Philippine Area of Responsibility]] around 11:00 UTC (19:00 [[Philippine Standard Time|PHT]]), and was named ''Odette'' by the PAGASA.<ref>{{Cite tweet|number=1470716956630470656|user=dost_pagasa|title=At 7:00 PM today, Severe Tropical Storm RAI entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility and was assigned the domestic name #OdettePH. [...]|author=PAGASA-DOST}}</ref><ref name=":02">{{Cite PAGASA|date=December 14, 2021|name=Odette|intl_name=Rai|type=tcb|no=1|category=STS|url=https://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/bulletin_odette.pdf|archive-url=https://archive.org/download/pagasa-21-TC15/PAGASA_21-TC15_Odette_TCB%2301.pdf}}</ref> Four hours later, Rai began to exhibit an [[Eye (cyclone)|eye]] which was first seen on [[Microwave imaging|microwave images]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 007|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211214143529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 14, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> The JMA further upgraded the system to a typhoon by the next day, followed by the JTWC three hours later as Rai began to take a westward motion under the influence of a [[subtropical ridge]] to its north.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|title=RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 13 for TY 2122 Rai (2122)|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211215025831/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 009|date=December 15, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211215031526/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2821prog.txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Steady intensification occurred on Rai while moving near the country, reaching high-end [[Saffir–Simpson scale#Category 1|Category 1]]-equivalent typhoon intensity by 15:00 UTC. At this time, the JTWC only forecasted a landfall equivalent to a Category 2 storm.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 010|date=December 15, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.ph/20211215083434/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 011|date=December 15, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.ph/20211215144853/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref>
The [[Japan Meteorological Agency]] (JMA){{#tag:ref|The [[Japan Meteorological Agency]] is the official [[Regional Specialized Meteorological Center]] for the western Pacific Ocean.<ref>{{cite web|publisher=Japan Meteorological Agency|title=Annual Report on Activities of the RSMC Tokyo &ndash; Typhoon Center 2000|date=February 2001|access-date=March 26, 2014|url=http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/AnnualReport/2000/Text/Text2000.pdf|page=3|archive-date=October 31, 2015|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20151031002308/http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/AnnualReport/2000/Text/Text2000.pdf|url-status=live}}</ref>|group="nb"}} first upgraded the system to a tropical depression with winds of {{convert|55|km/h|mph|abbr=on|round=5}},{{#tag:ref|Wind estimates from the JMA and most other basins throughout the world are [[maximum sustained winds|sustained]] over 10&nbsp;minutes, while estimates from the United States-based Joint Typhoon Warning Center are sustained over 1&nbsp;minute. 10&nbsp;minute winds are about 1.14&nbsp;times the amount of 1&nbsp;minute winds.<ref name="FAQD4">{{cite book|author=Christopher W Landsea|author2=Hurricane Research Division|title=Frequently Asked Questions|chapter=Subject: D4) What does "maximum sustained wind" mean? How does it relate to gusts in tropical cyclones?|access-date=April 10, 2014|publisher=National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory|url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html|date=April 26, 2004|archive-date=May 19, 2009|archive-url=https://www.webcitation.org/5gsJuFzTf?url=http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/E7.html|url-status=live}}</ref>|group="nb"}} at 00:00 UTC the next day, followed by the JTWC upgrading the storm's chances of developing to "high" and subsequently issuing a TCFA.<ref>{{cite web|date=December 12, 2021|title=WWJP25 RJTD 120000|url=https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20211212/000000/A_WWJP25RJTD120000_C_RJTD_20211212023332_86.txt|url-status=live|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211212063124/https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Warnings_and_weather_summary/20211212/000000/A_WWJP25RJTD120000_C_RJTD_20211212023332_86.txt|archive-date=December 12, 2021|access-date=December 12, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|location=Tokyo, Japan}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|title=Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 120330Z-120600Z December 2021|date=December 12, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210425144930/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/abpwweb.txt|archive-date=April 25, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9621web.txt|title=Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 96W)|date=December 12, 2021|publisher=United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center|access-date=December 12, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20210703202801/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp9621web.txt|archive-date=July 3, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> By 03:00 UTC on December 13, the JTWC upgraded the system to a weak tropical depression, highly based on [[Dvorak technique|Dvorak ratings]] of T1.5.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Depression 28W (Twentyeight) Warning NR 001|date=December 13, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 13, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213030529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Nine hours later, the JMA classified the system as a tropical storm based on Dvorak ratings and named the storm ''Rai''.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|title=RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 7 for TS 2122 Rai (2122)|date=December 13, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213152755/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref> It was not until 15:00 UTC that day when the JTWC upgraded Rai to a tropical storm, as it began tracking northwestward.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 003|date=December 13, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213152959/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Three hours later, Rai began to pass south of Ngulu State, while continuing to intensify and organize.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Tropical Storm Rai (28W) Intermediate Advisory Number 3A|url=https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GUM|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/CA9o8|archive-date=December 13, 2021|access-date=December 13, 2021|website=forecast.weather.gov|publisher=National Weather Service, Tiyan}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Tropical Storm Rai (28W) Intermediate Advisory Number 4|url=https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GUM|url-status=dead|archive-url=https://ghostarchive.org/archive/TJ5w2|archive-date=December 13, 2021|access-date=December 13, 2021|website=forecast.weather.gov|publisher=National Weather Service, Tiyan}}</ref> By December 14 in the early morning, the system was upgraded to a severe tropical storm by the JMA.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|title=RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 9 for STS 2122 Rai (2122)|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211214025255/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|archive-date=December 14, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref> By 09:00 UTC, the JTWC noted that the system's cloud tops became warm; however, it further organized while tracking towards the small island country of Palau.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 006|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211214090955/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 14, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> The storm entered the [[Philippine Area of Responsibility]] around 11:00 UTC (19:00 [[Philippine Standard Time|PHT]]), and was named ''Odette'' by the PAGASA.<ref>{{Cite tweet|number=1470716956630470656|user=dost_pagasa|title=At 7:00 PM today, Severe Tropical Storm RAI entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility and was assigned the domestic name #OdettePH. [...]|author=PAGASA-DOST}}</ref><ref name=":02">{{Cite PAGASA|date=December 14, 2021|name=Odette|intl_name=Rai|type=tcb|no=1|category=STS|url=https://pubfiles.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/tamss/weather/bulletin_odette.pdf|archive-url=https://archive.org/download/pagasa-21-TC15/PAGASA_21-TC15_Odette_TCB%2301.pdf}}</ref> Four hours later, Rai began to exhibit an [[Eye (cyclone)|eye]] which was first seen on [[Microwave imaging|microwave images]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 007|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211214143529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 14, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> The JMA further upgraded the system to a typhoon by the next day, followed by the JTWC three hours later as Rai began to take a westward motion under the influence of a [[subtropical ridge]] to its north.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|title=RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 13 for TY 2122 Rai (2122)|date=December 14, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 14, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211215025831/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wt/wtpq30.rjtd..txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 009|date=December 15, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211215031526/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2821prog.txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> Steady intensification occurred on Rai while moving near the country, reaching high-end [[Saffir–Simpson scale#Category 1|Category 1]]-equivalent typhoon intensity by 15:00 UTC. At this time, the JTWC only forecasted a landfall equivalent to a Category 2 storm.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 010|date=December 15, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.ph/20211215083434/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 011|date=December 15, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 15, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.ph/20211215144853/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref>


Rai unexpectedly underwent [[rapid intensification]] on December&nbsp;15, from {{Convert|120|km/h|mph|abbr=on|round=5}} to {{Convert|260|km/h|mph|abbr=on|round=5}} by December 16, while nearing landfall. At this time, a small {{Convert|6|nmi}} eye was seen along with strong convection. The storm began an [[eyewall replacement cycle]] (ERC) shortly after reaching peak intensity.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2821prog.txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 013|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211215060028/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2821prog.txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> On December 16, the typhoon made landfall over [[Siargao|Siargao Island]] in the province of [[Surigao del Norte]] around 1:30 PM local time (05:30 [[Coordinated Universal Time|UTC]])<ref>{{cite news|last1=Mangosing|first1=Frances|date=December 16, 2021|title=Typhoon Odette makes landfall in Siargao, says Pagasa|language=en|work=INQUIRER.net|url=https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1528498/typhoon-odette-makes-landfall-in-siargao-says-pagasa|url-status=live|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211216084743/https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1528498/typhoon-odette-makes-landfall-in-siargao-says-pagasa|archive-date=December 16, 2021}}</ref> and a second landfall over [[Dinagat Islands]] around 3:10 PM local time (07:10 UTC).<ref>{{cite news|last1=ABS-CBN News|date=December 16, 2021|title=Odette makes 2nd landfall over Dinagat Islands|language=en|work=ABS-CBN News|url=https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/16/21/odette-makes-2nd-landfall-over-dinagat-islands|url-status=live|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211216084732/https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/16/21/odette-makes-2nd-landfall-over-dinagat-islands|archive-date=December 16, 2021}}</ref> A third landfall occurred in [[Liloan, Southern Leyte]] at 3:40 PM local time (7:40 UTC). A fourth landfall occurred at [[Panaon Island]], also at Liloan, at around 4:50 PM (8:50 UTC).<ref>{{cite news|last1=|date=December 16, 2021|title=Typhoon 'Odette' maintains strength; makes 2nd, 3rd landfall|language=en|work=Manila Bulletin|url=https://mb.com.ph/2021/12/16/typhoon-odette-maintains-strength-makes-2nd-3rd-landfall/|url-status=live|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211216121122/https://mb.com.ph/2021/12/16/typhoon-odette-maintains-strength-makes-2nd-3rd-landfall/|archive-date=December 16, 2021}}</ref> [[Padre Burgos, Southern Leyte]] was the fifth at 5:40 PM (09:40 UTC), followed nearly one-hour later at [[President Carlos P. Garcia, Bohol]] and approximately another hour at [[Bien Unido]], still at Bohol. The eight landfall occured at [[Carcar]] by 10:00 PM (14:00 UTC) and the ninth over [[La Libertad, Negros Oriental]], two hours later.<ref>{{Cite news|date=December 17, 2021|title=Typhoon Odette over Panay Gulf after 8th landfall in Negros Oriental|work=[[Rappler]]|url=https://www.rappler.com/nation/weather/typhoon-odette-pagasa-forecast-december-17-2021-5am/|url-status=live|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211217062219/https://www.rappler.com/nation/weather/typhoon-odette-pagasa-forecast-december-17-2021-5am/|archive-date=December 17, 2021}}</ref> The JMA estimated a minimum [[barometric pressure|central pressure]] of {{convert|915|mbar|inHg}} by 03:00 UTC, earlier that day, two hours before its landfall. The same situation slightly weakened the system into a Category 4-equivalent super typhoon by 09:00 UTC, and its intensity continued to degrade, six hours later while crossing [[Visayas]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Tropical_cyclone/20211216/030000/A_WTPQ50RJTD160300_C_RJTD_20211216034103_76.txt|title=WTPQ50 RJTD 160300|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20211216090451/https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Tropical_cyclone/20211216/030000/A_WTPQ50RJTD160300_C_RJTD_20211216034103_76.txt|archive-date=December 16, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 014|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.ph/20211216090220/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 16, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 015|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20211216143912/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 16, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> As Rai entered the [[Panay Gulf]], its eye further weakened and its convective signature becoming disorganized as the JTWC further downgraded it to a Category 3 system six hours later. It continued to lose in strength while tracking towards the [[Sulu Sea]] by the next day at 03:00 UTC.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 015|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213030529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 17, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 017|date=December 17, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213030529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 17, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> A new eye also struggled to form as the system was nearing landfall.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 018|date=December 17, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 18, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213152959/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref>
Rai unexpectedly underwent [[rapid intensification]] on December&nbsp;15, from {{Convert|120|km/h|mph|abbr=on|round=5}} to {{Convert|260|km/h|mph|abbr=on|round=5}} by December 16, while nearing landfall. At this time, a small {{Convert|6|nmi}} eye was seen along with strong convection. The storm began an [[eyewall replacement cycle]] (ERC) shortly after reaching peak intensity.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2821prog.txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 013|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211215060028/https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/products/wp2821prog.txt|archive-date=December 15, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> On December 16, the typhoon made landfall over [[Siargao|Siargao Island]] in the province of [[Surigao del Norte]] around 1:30 PM local time (05:30 [[Coordinated Universal Time|UTC]])<ref>{{cite news|last1=Mangosing|first1=Frances|date=December 16, 2021|title=Typhoon Odette makes landfall in Siargao, says Pagasa|language=en|work=INQUIRER.net|url=https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1528498/typhoon-odette-makes-landfall-in-siargao-says-pagasa|url-status=live|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211216084743/https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1528498/typhoon-odette-makes-landfall-in-siargao-says-pagasa|archive-date=December 16, 2021}}</ref> and a second landfall over [[Dinagat Islands]] around 3:10 PM local time (07:10 UTC).<ref>{{cite news|last1=ABS-CBN News|date=December 16, 2021|title=Odette makes 2nd landfall over Dinagat Islands|language=en|work=ABS-CBN News|url=https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/16/21/odette-makes-2nd-landfall-over-dinagat-islands|url-status=live|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211216084732/https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/12/16/21/odette-makes-2nd-landfall-over-dinagat-islands|archive-date=December 16, 2021}}</ref> A third landfall occurred in [[Liloan, Southern Leyte]] at 3:40 PM local time (7:40 UTC). A fourth landfall occurred at [[Panaon Island]], also at Liloan, at around 4:50 PM (8:50 UTC).<ref>{{cite news|last1=|date=December 16, 2021|title=Typhoon 'Odette' maintains strength; makes 2nd, 3rd landfall|language=en|work=Manila Bulletin|url=https://mb.com.ph/2021/12/16/typhoon-odette-maintains-strength-makes-2nd-3rd-landfall/|url-status=live|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211216121122/https://mb.com.ph/2021/12/16/typhoon-odette-maintains-strength-makes-2nd-3rd-landfall/|archive-date=December 16, 2021}}</ref> [[Padre Burgos, Southern Leyte]] was the fifth at 5:40 PM (09:40 UTC), followed nearly one-hour later at [[President Carlos P. Garcia, Bohol]] and approximately another hour at [[Bien Unido]], still at Bohol. The eight landfall occured at [[Carcar]] by 10:00 PM (14:00 UTC) and the ninth over [[La Libertad, Negros Oriental]], two hours later.<ref>{{Cite news|date=December 17, 2021|title=Typhoon Odette over Panay Gulf after 8th landfall in Negros Oriental|work=[[Rappler]]|url=https://www.rappler.com/nation/weather/typhoon-odette-pagasa-forecast-december-17-2021-5am/|url-status=live|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20211217062219/https://www.rappler.com/nation/weather/typhoon-odette-pagasa-forecast-december-17-2021-5am/|archive-date=December 17, 2021}}</ref> The JMA estimated a minimum [[barometric pressure|central pressure]] of {{convert|915|mbar|inHg}} by 03:00 UTC, earlier that day, two hours before its landfall. The same situation slightly weakened the system into a Category 4-equivalent super typhoon by 09:00 UTC, and its intensity continued to degrade, six hours later while crossing [[Visayas]].<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Tropical_cyclone/20211216/030000/A_WTPQ50RJTD160300_C_RJTD_20211216034103_76.txt|title=WTPQ50 RJTD 160300|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]]|access-date=December 16, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20211216090451/https://www.wis-jma.go.jp/d/o/RJTD/Alphanumeric/Warning/Tropical_cyclone/20211216/030000/A_WTPQ50RJTD160300_C_RJTD_20211216034103_76.txt|archive-date=December 16, 2021|url-status=live}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 014|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.ph/20211216090220/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 16, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 015|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.today/20211216143912/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 16, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> As Rai entered the [[Panay Gulf]], its eye further weakened and its convective signature becoming disorganized as the JTWC further downgraded it to a Category 3 system six hours later. It continued to lose in strength while tracking towards the [[Sulu Sea]] by the next day at 03:00 UTC.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 015|date=December 16, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213030529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 17, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 017|date=December 17, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 17, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213030529/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 17, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref> A new eye also struggled to form as the system was nearing landfall.<ref>{{Cite report|url=https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|title=Prognostic Reasoning for Typhoon 28W (Rai) Warning NR 018|date=December 17, 2021|publisher=United States [[Joint Typhoon Warning Center]]|access-date=December 18, 2021|archive-url=https://archive.md/20211213152959/https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/wd/wdpn31.pgtw..txt|archive-date=December 13, 2021|url-status=dead}}</ref>

Revision as of 04:48, 21 December 2021

Typhoon Rai (Odette)
Violent typhoon (JMA scale)
Category 5 super typhoon (SSHWS)
Typhoon Rai at its initial peak intensity while approaching the Philippines on December 16.
FormedDecember 12, 2021
DissipatedCurrently active
Highest winds10-minute sustained: 195 km/h (120 mph)
1-minute sustained: 260 km/h (160 mph)
Lowest pressure915 hPa (mbar); 27.02 inHg
Fatalities376 total, 37 missing
Damage> $628 million (2021 USD)
Areas affectedCaroline Islands, Palau, Philippines, Spratly Islands, Vietnam, South China, Hong Kong, Macau
Part of the 2021 Pacific typhoon season

Typhoon Rai, known in the Philippines as Typhoon Odette, was a catastrophic and powerful tropical cyclone that struck the Philippines. Rai became the first Category 5-equivalent super typhoon to develop in the month of December since Nock-ten in 2016, and the third Category 5 super typhoon recorded in the South China Sea, following Pamela in 1954 and Rammasun in 2014. The twenty-second tropical storm, the ninth typhoon, and the fifth super typhoon of the 2021 Pacific typhoon season, the system originated from a tropical disturbance near the equator on December 10, forming near the site of another low-pressure area that had dissipated on the previous day. Conditions around the system were favorable for further development, and it slowly developed into a tropical depression on December 12. On the same day, the United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)[nb 1] issued a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TCFA) on the consolidating depression. Further intensification ensued, and Rai was upgraded to a tropical storm the next day, before passing south of Ngulu Atoll. After passing near Palau and impacting the island nation, Rai entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by the night of December 14, where the PAGASA named it "Odette". On the next day, both the JMA and JTWC raised the system's intensity to a low-end Category 1-equivalent typhoon, as an eye continued to appear. While approaching the Philippines, Rai unexpectedly rapidly intensified into a Category 5 super typhoon[nb 2] just before its first landfall across Siargao. It then slowly but steadily weakened as it traversed Visayas, exiting into the Sulu Sea. After making its last landfall over Palawan, Rai continued to weaken before unexpectedly re-intensifying into a Category 5-equivalent typhoon by December 18, while nearing Vietnam. On the next day, Rai initiated yet another weakening phase.

Tropical cyclone warnings were issued for areas in the Philippines and parts of the Caroline Islands as Rai developed. Early bulletins were issued by PAGASA for Rai, starting on December 12 due to the persistent track of the system towards the country. As the storm neared the country, land travels were canceled, along with flights and ferry operations. People living near coastal areas and into the track of the storm were urged to evacuate. Fishing vessels were also docked into safety and many provinces in the Visayas started to prepare for the storm's brunt. Storm signals were also raised by PAGASA, first focusing on parts of the Visayas and Mindanao, before further expanding into southern Luzon. Food and non-food packages were also prepared by the Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) for the evacuees, along with standby funds worth near $15,000. Forced evacuations were conducted as Rai further approached the country, with some people in the Bicol Region being warned of possible lahars from Mayon Volcano. A festival in Antique was also affected, along with vaccination drives across the affected regions. Fishing vessels across the coastal areas of Vietnam were moved into safety while thousands of people were prepared to be evacuated due to the storm. Flight services were halted and crops were harvested early.

As Rai pounded the Philippines, heavy rainfall, strong and gusty winds impacted several areas around the storm's path. Many areas across Visayas and Mindanao lost electricity with several provinces and areas being deprived further of communication services. Downed trees obstructed many roadways, and flooding was a major problem across the affected regions, particularly Bohol, where the storm was described as "one of the worst for the province". Rivers also overflowed across Cagayan de Oro, while numerous buildings sustained damages. Surigao City was reported to be completely damaged, and appealed for aid. Bohol also pleaded help to the government due to the damages Rai brought to the area. A state of calamity has been placed in the province and Cebu. So far, 375 people have died, a large portion of which were from the severely affected island of Bohol. Damages at the aforementioned location were projected to be worth ₱5 billion ($100 million), with those in Siargao being estimated to be worth ₱20 billion ($401 million) and those in Negros Occidental being estimated to be worth ₱5.9 billion ($118 million). According to the United Nations, 13 million people are expected to be affected in the Philippines. Many public and private facilities were also harmed as a result of the storm. Two crews of a vessel were reported to have been missing over Bạch Long Vĩ Island's waters.

Meteorological history

Map plotting the storm's track and intensity, according to the Saffir–Simpson scale
Map key
  Tropical depression (≤38 mph, ≤62 km/h)
  Tropical storm (39–73 mph, 63–118 km/h)
  Category 1 (74–95 mph, 119–153 km/h)
  Category 2 (96–110 mph, 154–177 km/h)
  Category 3 (111–129 mph, 178–208 km/h)
  Category 4 (130–156 mph, 209–251 km/h)
  Category 5 (≥157 mph, ≥252 km/h)
  Unknown
Storm type
triangle Extratropical cyclone, remnant low, tropical disturbance, or monsoon depression

At 06:00 UTC on December 9, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) started to monitor a low-latitude area of convection in the Pacific Ocean at 4°36′N 142°24′E / 4.6°N 142.4°E / 4.6; 142.4, located about 350 nautical miles (650 km; 400 mi) to Palau's east-southeast. A broad circulation was identified by the agency, with flaring convection over it. The circulation had a marginal environment with low to moderate wind shear, fair outflow, and warm sea surface temperatures.[3] Despite its given environment, however, the disturbance failed to intensify and dissipated by 06:00 UTC the next day. Another new area of low pressure formed on December 10, near the location of the previous disturbance. Analysis on the system revealed a degraded and disorganized low-level circulation center.[4][5] Position fixes by 02:30 UTC on December 11 determined that its center had shifted to the north over a developing surface trough, while convective bursts occurred around the system.[6] An ASCAT pass featured below gale-force winds on its northwest quadrant.[7]

Typhoon Rai re-intensifying in the South China Sea on the evening of December 18.

The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)[nb 3] first upgraded the system to a tropical depression with winds of 55 km/h (35 mph),[nb 4] at 00:00 UTC the next day, followed by the JTWC upgrading the storm's chances of developing to "high" and subsequently issuing a TCFA.[10][11][12] By 03:00 UTC on December 13, the JTWC upgraded the system to a weak tropical depression, highly based on Dvorak ratings of T1.5.[13] Nine hours later, the JMA classified the system as a tropical storm based on Dvorak ratings and named the storm Rai.[14] It was not until 15:00 UTC that day when the JTWC upgraded Rai to a tropical storm, as it began tracking northwestward.[15] Three hours later, Rai began to pass south of Ngulu State, while continuing to intensify and organize.[16][17] By December 14 in the early morning, the system was upgraded to a severe tropical storm by the JMA.[18] By 09:00 UTC, the JTWC noted that the system's cloud tops became warm; however, it further organized while tracking towards the small island country of Palau.[19] The storm entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility around 11:00 UTC (19:00 PHT), and was named Odette by the PAGASA.[20][21] Four hours later, Rai began to exhibit an eye which was first seen on microwave images.[22] The JMA further upgraded the system to a typhoon by the next day, followed by the JTWC three hours later as Rai began to take a westward motion under the influence of a subtropical ridge to its north.[23][24] Steady intensification occurred on Rai while moving near the country, reaching high-end Category 1-equivalent typhoon intensity by 15:00 UTC. At this time, the JTWC only forecasted a landfall equivalent to a Category 2 storm.[25][26]

Rai unexpectedly underwent rapid intensification on December 15, from 120 km/h (75 mph) to 260 km/h (160 mph) by December 16, while nearing landfall. At this time, a small 6 nautical miles (11 km; 6.9 mi) eye was seen along with strong convection. The storm began an eyewall replacement cycle (ERC) shortly after reaching peak intensity.[27] On December 16, the typhoon made landfall over Siargao Island in the province of Surigao del Norte around 1:30 PM local time (05:30 UTC)[28] and a second landfall over Dinagat Islands around 3:10 PM local time (07:10 UTC).[29] A third landfall occurred in Liloan, Southern Leyte at 3:40 PM local time (7:40 UTC). A fourth landfall occurred at Panaon Island, also at Liloan, at around 4:50 PM (8:50 UTC).[30] Padre Burgos, Southern Leyte was the fifth at 5:40 PM (09:40 UTC), followed nearly one-hour later at President Carlos P. Garcia, Bohol and approximately another hour at Bien Unido, still at Bohol. The eight landfall occured at Carcar by 10:00 PM (14:00 UTC) and the ninth over La Libertad, Negros Oriental, two hours later.[31] The JMA estimated a minimum central pressure of 915 millibars (27.0 inHg) by 03:00 UTC, earlier that day, two hours before its landfall. The same situation slightly weakened the system into a Category 4-equivalent super typhoon by 09:00 UTC, and its intensity continued to degrade, six hours later while crossing Visayas.[32][33][34] As Rai entered the Panay Gulf, its eye further weakened and its convective signature becoming disorganized as the JTWC further downgraded it to a Category 3 system six hours later. It continued to lose in strength while tracking towards the Sulu Sea by the next day at 03:00 UTC.[35][36] A new eye also struggled to form as the system was nearing landfall.[37] By 07:10 UTC (15:10 PHT), the system made another and last landfall over Roxas, Palawan as it continued to weaken in intensity.[38] It then entered the South China Sea with more organization but its intensity remaining the same.[39] Rai then started to slightly strengthen as it turned northwestwards, away from the Philippine archipelago.[40][41] The system then left the PAR by 12:40 PHT (04:40 UTC).[42] For the first time since Typhoon Rammasun in 2014 and the third after Pamela of 1954 and the aforementioned storm, Rai unexpectedly attained Category 5-equivalent super typhoon status in the South China Sea, due to the favorable environment in that region, at 21:00 UTC on December 18, as it underwent a secondary period of rapid intensification.[43]

By 03:00 UTC on the next day, Rai again weakened below Category 5-equivalent super typhoon intensity, while turning in a west-northwesterly direction. Its eye was cloud-filled by this time, with the storm rapid weakening afterward.[44]

Preparations

Micronesia

Upon the system's intensification into a tropical depression, a typhoon watch was issued by the US National Weather Service in Tiyan, Guam, in Koror and Kayangel while a tropical storm warning was placed for Ngulu Atoll. The island of Yap was placed also under tropical storm watch.[45] This was further upgraded into a typhoon warning for Palau as Rai further intensifies.[46] The alerts for Ngulu and Yap were first canceled by 09:00 UTC of December 14 and six hours later, the typhoon warning were also canceled for Palau.[47][48]

Philippines

Typhoon Rai approaching the Philippines on December 15.

The PAGASA began issuing Tropical Cyclone Advisories as early as December 12 given the forecasted track of the storm. In its first advisory, the PAGASA forecasted the possibility of Signal #4 being raised over the Visayas and Mindanao regions, later lowered to Signal #3. :Serols islol[49][50] The PAGASA also forecasted winds of up to 155 km/h (96 mph) prior to landfall.[51] On December 14, storm signals were raised in Caraga and Eastern Visayas as the storm entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility.[52] Starting on the night of December 13, land travel on bound to Visayas, Mindanao, the province of Masbate and Catanduanes were canceled according to an approved request of the Office of the Civil Defense in the country. The Land Transportation Office also placed the same travel restrictions in Mindanao and Luzon as a precaution. All types of vessels are also prohibited to leave the country's ports if there is any Storm Signals raised. Fishermen living near coastal areas were also urged by the country's coast guard to leave their homes "as soon as possible". Other Philippine provinces like Bohol and Aklan were also prepared for possible work cancelations and evacuation premises in regards to the storm. Floating cottages in General Santos City, as well as fishing boats were brought to shore and safety. The vaccination operations across the possible affected areas were earlier suspended by December 20–22.[53][54] Over 23,642 food packs for evacuees were also readied by the country's Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD), over 18,665 non-edible items as well as over ₱752,250 (US$14,950) worth of standby funds.[55] The airline carrier Cebu Pacific also suspended three flights in the country.[56]

Over 10,000 individuals in barangays across Mindanao, Visayas and further north into Southern Luzon were also urged by the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) to immediately leave their homes. The whole of Bicol Region were also under red alert starting on December 14. The higher authorities there also warned its people of possible landslides and lahar flow from the Mayon Volcano. Cebu were also under a "state of preparedness" due to the storm. Furthermore, many individuals, of which the majority are going into the Bicol Region in the Parañaque Integrated Terminal Exchange (PITX) were also stranded due to ferry suspensions. Capiz already started voluntary evacuations at this time, first focused on people living in coastal areas.[57] Liloan, Cebu also initiated forced evacuations by the afternoon of December 15. Several flights into Visayas and Mindanao from Ninoy Aquino International Airport were also delayed, rescheduled and/or canceled, mainly from the earlier Cebu Pacific, Philippine Airlines and Airasia. Some face to face classes in the affected areas were also halted. Many billboards in Bohol were also removed and the annual Binirayan festival in Antique was canceled due to Rai.[58] The city of Surigao was already soaked by the rains of Odette by the afternoon of December 15, including the whole of Eastern Visayas. Thousands of evacuees rushed into safety shelters in the area whereas in one case, they became full. Sandbags were also placed over some houses in Tacloban City in Leyte and many individuals rushed into a grocery store in Alangalang to stack essential supplies.[59]

Four hours after Rai entered the PAR, the PAGASA started to hoist Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal Number 1 for southeastern Eastern Samar and over Surigao Provinces, including the Dinagat Islands.[60][61] This was further extended into some provinces in the Central Visayas and further south of Mindanao, until Agusan del Sur.[62] Signal Number 2 were further placed for Surigao provinces and further into some parts of Visayas as Odette further intensified into a typhoon, with number 1 spreading further into the remaining part of the region and Mimaropa and Southern Tagalog provinces.[63][64] The storm's further intensification led to PAGASA raising the Signal Number 3 warning in some portions of Caraga and as Rai underwent rapid intensification, into eastern Visayas before Signal Number 4 was raised in those areas.[65][66]

On December 15, militants of the New People's Army attacked troops evacuating residents in Surigao del Sur prior to the storm, killing three civilians.[67]

Vietnam

As Rai approached Vietnam after clearing the Philippines, officials held a meeting in which more than 243,254 houses across eight Vietnamese provinces were identified as "not safe", while rice crops were harvested by farmers in preparation for the storm.[68][69] Vietnam Airlines' flight operations were also halted due to the typhoon, while marine equipment, particularly fishing boats, were moved onto shores as a precautionary measure.[70][71] Lý Sơn Island also prepared to evacuate over 7,800 individuals. Towing vessels were also readied in case of marine emergencies over the South China Sea. Medicine and food packs were also prepared while houses over the areas that are foreseen to be affected by Rai were secured.[72] 305,000 individuals were also readied to be evacuated from Quảng Bình to Bình Thuận. Heavy rainfall, strong winds and rough waves were also forecasted.[73]

Hong Kong

The Hong Kong Observatory issued the number 1 tropical cyclone signal as Typhoon Rai approached the city. The last time such a signal warning was issued in Hong Kong in December was in 1974 as a response to Typhoon Irma.[74] The warning was issued at 11:20am HKT on December 20 and was cancelled at 12:20pm HKT the following day.

Macau

The Macau SMG issued the Signal 1 typhoon warning at 1am HKT on December 20 when Rai entered 800km from Macau.

Mainland China

Yellow and Blue Typhoon Warnings were issued for Hainan, Guangxi and Guangdong Provinces of Southern China, a very rare occurrence in December.

Impact

Philippines

Costliest Philippine typhoons
Rank Storm Season Damage Ref.
PHP USD
1 Yolanda (Haiyan) 2013 ₱95.5 billion $2.2 billion [75]
2 Odette (Rai) 2021 ₱51.8 billion $1.02 billion [76]
3 Pablo (Bopha) 2012 ₱43.2 billion $1.06 billion [77]
4 Glenda (Rammasun) 2014 ₱38.6 billion $771 million [78]
5 Ompong (Mangkhut) 2018 ₱33.9 billion $627 million [79]
6 Pepeng (Parma) 2009 ₱27.3 billion $581 million [80]
7 Ulysses (Vamco) 2020 ₱20.2 billion $418 million [81]
8 Rolly (Goni) 2020 ₱20 billion $369 million [82]
9
Kristine (Trami) 2024 ₱18.4 billion $373 million [83]
10 Pedring (Nesat) 2011 ₱15.6 billion $356 million [77]

Rai caused severe and widespread damage throughout the Southern Philippines, killing at least 375.[84] The typhoon was estimated to have caused at least ₱30.9 billion ($619 million) worth of damage across the Philippines.[85][86][87]

Typhoon Rai making landfall in General Luna, Surigao del Norte in the Philippines on the evening of December 16.

Over 100,000 people were moved to higher ground as flooding occurred.[88] Strong winds and heavy rainfall also impacted Guiuan, Eastern Samar, with rough waves bashing the shores of the province, according to a news correspondent of 24 Oras.[89] The same situation was also felt across the entirety of Western Visayas.[90] As Rai impacted Liloan in Southern Leyte, an area there was described as "cut-off", indicating that there was no electricity or means of communications in the place. A GMA News reporter recalling his experience inside the storm reported that the building where his team was sustained considerable damage, comparing it to Typhoon Haiyan in terms of ferocity. Their vehicles also received damage from the storm. After the storm passed over the area, the whole municipality was reported to be isolated.[91][92] Many provinces in Mindanao also were severely affected by the typhoon. In Cagayan de Oro, despite rushing water, rescue teams continued to save many people in their houses from the floods. A house was heavily destroyed by Odette's strong winds in Agusan del Norte while a barge of unknown origins was left stranded by the storm's waves on a shore, still in the province.[93] Storm surge also impacted the coast boulevards of Surigao del Norte while Iligan's Mandulog River overflowed. The incident was a horror to many residents there, due to the same effect Tropical Storm Washi in 2011 brought. Further south, it also caused rough waves over Cateel.[94] The Cagayan de Oro River also overflowed, causing several homes to be near-completely inundated.[95] The first fatality from the storm was reported at Iloilo, where a woman was crushed to death in her house by a bamboo tree.[96]

"The first responders themselves are victims. So this is Typhoon Haiyan [Yolanda] again."[nb 5]

Arthur Yap, Bohol Governor on an interview at a news station about the effects of Typhoon Rai on the province.[97]

Surigao City was deprived of electricity and communications due to downed power lines while scores of trees left many roads impassable. Many buildings in the area were also devastated and the overall impact of Rai in the area were described as "widespread". Clean water supply became a problem in the city while almost all coastal houses were destroyed by the typhoon's storm surge. The main wet market of the area was also closed, still due to the effects of the system.[98][99] Authorities are verifying a possible second death due to Rai in the city and a third elsewhere in southern Mindanao. The mayor of Surigao City, Ernesto Matugas also estimated that 100% of the area was devastated due to Odette, also appealing for aid to the government.[100] Aid was also requested by the province of Bohol, where a chief of the area's Provincial Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (PDRRMO) described Rai as the "one of the worst ever for the province". Many areas in the island were severely inundated, including Loboc, among the worst hit. The whole province also lost power services.[101] The governor of the province, Arthur Yap estimated the damages at ₱5 billion ($100 million).[85] A terminal in Siargao Airport was also totally destroyed; the overall island was also wrecked according to the first district representative of Surigao del Norte, Francisco Jose Matugas II.[102] Southern Surigao confirmed a death, while two people lost their lives in Bukidnon.[103] Three individuals were killed due to various reasons across Negros Occidental. Numerous houses there were also destroyed by felled trees, with a triage of the Ignacio Locsin Arroyo Memorial District Hospital being wrecked. Some areas in Kabankalan were also inundated due to a river overflowing there.[104] The Philippine National Police (PNP) also listed two people to be unaccounted for from Western Visayas.[105]

Typhoon Rai casualties in the Philippines
Provinces Deaths Ref.
Bohol 94 [106]
Cebu 76 [107]
Negros Occidental 58 [87]
Negros Oriental 51 [108]
Surigao del Norte 18 [109]
Dinagat Islands 14 [110]
Total 375

Further assessments of the NDRRMC reported at least 12 killed due to the typhoon across the affected areas, while seven people were missing. A briefing with the Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte occurred on the night of December 17, where the agency noted that many provinces were also pleading for help, especially Cebu.[111] The governor of Surigao also observed that over 99 percent of individuals of Surigao were affected. Aerial operations were also conducted by the Philippine Coast Guard, where they saw the total devastation of the island. The area were also reported to have been isolated from any means of transportations except for air. The government there also estimated damages to be ₱20 billion ($401 million).[86] The Dinagat Islands were also wrecked due to Rai, with their governor Arlene Bag-ao also requesting aid from the government, and saying the islands was "levelled to the ground". 95 percent of houses were estimated to have lost their roofs, and emergency shelters were destroyed.[112][113][114] Almost all of Visayas have been left without electricity, according to the Department of Energy (DOE).[115] At least 332,000 people were evacuated from their homes. The storm affected areas that were still rebuilding from storms late last year.[116] At least 140,000 people were severely affected, with the United Nations estimating 13 million were affected in some way.[117][118] Military-released Aerial photos showed General Luna was destroyed by the typhoon.[119] As the ravaged areas were examined, the death toll rose to 75, the majority of which were from Bohol. 12 were further reported by December 19, making the casualty toll at 87 as of that day.[120][121] A landslide also caused the deaths of five people and left six missing, out of 11, further raising the toll to 92.[122] The Associated Press, however indicated that over 112 were killed during the storm.[123] 78 marine vessels in Cebu also experienced sea mishaps, according to the PCG, while over 4,000 houses in Southern Leyte were destroyed due to the storm-induced storm surge.[124][125] In northern Palawan, where Rai made its last landfall before clearing the country, many houses were downed and trees obstructed several roadways. Many locations in the province, including the major city Puerto Princesa were left without electricity, water supply and communication signals.[126] 488,000 people have been displaced, 428,000 are in evacuation centers, 41 areas have been flooded, 28,000 houses have been damaged, 227 municipalities experienced power outages, and 135 saw telecommunication issues. 9% were estimated to have their outages fixed, whereas 70% communication restored.[127]


Vietnam

Rai wreaked havoc across Vietnamese-held isles in the Spratly Islands. An observation tower in Southwest Cay recorded sustained winds up to 180 km/h (110 mph) and a gust of 200 km/h (120 mph) during the afternoon of December 18 before being knocked down. The storm destroyed 500 square meters of civilian house tiles, 27 solar batteries, 400 square meters of farmland, and knocked down 90% of the trees on the island; no casualties were reported there.[128][129] Rai began to batter the Central Vietnamese coast at night, with winds in several provinces averaging 65–90 km/h (40–56 mph). Heavy rainfall was unleashed on Thừa Thiên – Huế to Khánh Hòa, with reports showing an average of 100–200 mm (3.9–7.9 in) of rainfall; some places recorded up to 300 mm (12 in) of rain.[130] In Nghệ An province, two crew members of a fishing vessel were reported missing in the waters off Bạch Long Vĩ Island.[73]

On December 19, one person (fisherman) was reported dead in Tuy Phong, five ships were capsized and three others were damaged off the coast of Bình Thuận.[131] Rough storm waves damaged and destroyed 90 lobster herds on Bình Hưng Island, Cam Ranh, where losses is estimated to be more than 200 billion VND ($8.72 million).[132]

Aftermath

Surigao City is also toured by the Philippine Coast Guard, and heavy devastation were also seen.

Philippines

Social media coverage of the typhoon was much less than expected a day after Rai.[118] Possible effects from the newly-emerged COVID-19 Omicron variant were feared to be worsened by the typhoon's effects.[133] The DSWD further elaborated that over ₱900 million ($18 million) worth of standby funds were already prepared for the people affected by Odette.[134] Immediately after the storm, the current Vice President of the Philippines Leni Robredo and former senator Bongbong Marcos set up relief and recovery operations for the victims of the storm, particularly in Samar and Leyte.[135][136] Two major telecommunication networks in the country, Globe Telecom and PLDT reported communication disruptions. Both companies assured that their respective teams are trying to restore services.[137]

On December 17, Gwendolyn Garcia, the governor of Cebu, placed the province of Cebu into a state of calamity due to widespread damages.[138] That same day, the governor of Bohol, Arthur Yap, also put the province of Bohol into a state of calamity.[139] The storage of Covid-19 vaccines and vaccine kits were also feared to be disrupted due to power outages.[115] Duterte also announced that he will tour Leyte, Surigao, Bohol and Cebu to check the situation there.[140] Dozens of people are feared dead.[141] Food and water was sparse for those impacted by the storm.[141] The Philippine President, Rodrigo Duterte, was expected to visit affected areas days after the storm hit.[86] Recovery funds up to ₱2 billion ($40 million) were promised by the national government for the affected areas of the storm. Duterte also started to tour Surigao City, Siargao, Maasin and Dinagat Islands by December 18.[142][143]

Notes

  1. ^ The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is a joint United States Navy – United States Air Force task force that issues tropical cyclone warnings for the western Pacific Ocean and other regions.[1]
  2. ^ A super typhoon is an unofficial category used by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) for a typhoon with winds of at least 240 km/h (150 mph).[2]
  3. ^ The Japan Meteorological Agency is the official Regional Specialized Meteorological Center for the western Pacific Ocean.[8]
  4. ^ Wind estimates from the JMA and most other basins throughout the world are sustained over 10 minutes, while estimates from the United States-based Joint Typhoon Warning Center are sustained over 1 minute. 10 minute winds are about 1.14 times the amount of 1 minute winds.[9]
  5. ^ Filipino: "Yung first responders mismo, biktima kaming lahat. So this is Typhoon Haiyan [Yolanda] again."

See also

References

  1. ^ "Joint Typhoon Warning Center Mission Statement". Joint Typhoon Warning Center. 2011. Archived from the original on July 26, 2007. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
  2. ^ Frequently Asked Questions (Report). Joint Typhoon Warning Center. August 13, 2012. Archived from the original on October 4, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2012.
  3. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 090600Z-100600Z December 2021 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 9, 2021. Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  4. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 092200Z-100600Z December 2021 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 9, 2021. Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  5. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 100600Z-110600Z December 2021 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 10, 2021. Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  6. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 110230Z-110600Z December 2021 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 11, 2021. Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  7. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans 110600Z-120600Z December 2021 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 11, 2021. Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  8. ^ "Annual Report on Activities of the RSMC Tokyo – Typhoon Center 2000" (PDF). Japan Meteorological Agency. February 2001. p. 3. Archived (PDF) from the original on October 31, 2015. Retrieved March 26, 2014.
  9. ^ Christopher W Landsea; Hurricane Research Division (April 26, 2004). "Subject: D4) What does "maximum sustained wind" mean? How does it relate to gusts in tropical cyclones?". Frequently Asked Questions. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory. Archived from the original on May 19, 2009. Retrieved April 10, 2014.
  10. ^ "WWJP25 RJTD 120000". Tokyo, Japan: Japan Meteorological Agency. December 12, 2021. Archived from the original on December 12, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  11. ^ Significant Tropical Weather Advisory for the Western and South Pacific Oceans Reissued 120330Z-120600Z December 2021 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 12, 2021. Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  12. ^ Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 96W) (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 12, 2021. Archived from the original on July 3, 2021. Retrieved December 12, 2021.
  13. ^ Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Depression 28W (Twentyeight) Warning NR 001 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 13, 2021. Archived from the original on December 13, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021.
  14. ^ RSMC Tropical Cyclone Prognostic Reasoning No. 7 for TS 2122 Rai (2122) (Report). Japan Meteorological Agency. December 13, 2021. Archived from the original on December 13, 2021. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
  15. ^ Prognostic Reasoning for Tropical Storm 28W (Rai) Warning NR 003 (Report). United States Joint Typhoon Warning Center. December 13, 2021. Archived from the original on December 13, 2021. Retrieved December 14, 2021.
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