2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska: Difference between revisions

2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Turnout	71.06% [citation needed]
Trump 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90-100%	Clinton 40–50%
President before election; Barack Obama; Democratic	Elected President ; Donald Trump; Republican

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The 2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.^[1]

Trump carried the state with 58.7% of the vote, while Clinton received 33.7%.^[2] Trump subsequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Douglas or Lancaster County since William Howard Taft in 1908.

Democratic caucus

Democratic presidential caucuses

Nebraska Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	19,120	57.14%	15	1	16
Hillary Clinton	14,340	42.86%	10	3	13
Uncommitted	—		0	1	1
Total	33,460	100%	25	5	30
Source: ^[3]

Democratic presidential primary (non-binding)
The Nebraska Democratic primary was held on May 10, 2016. The primary does not bind delegates. Delegates were bound by the caucuses on March 5, 2016.

Nebraska Democratic primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	42,692	53.08%	—
Bernie Sanders	37,744	46.92%	—
Total	80,436	100%	—
Source: ^[4]

Republican primary

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:^[5]^[6]

Ben Carson (withdrawn)
Ted Cruz (withdrawn)
John Kasich (withdrawn)
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)
Donald Trump

Nebraska Republican primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Actual delegate count
Candidate	Votes	Percentage	Bound	Unbound	Total
Donald Trump	122,327	61.47%	36	0	36
Ted Cruz (withdrawn)	36,703	18.44%	0	0	0
John Kasich (withdrawn)	22,709	11.41%	0	0	0
Ben Carson (withdrawn)	10,016	5.03%	0	0	0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn)	7,233	3.63%	0	0	0
Unprojected delegates:			0	0	0
Total:	198,988	100.00%	36	0	36
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian primary

The Nebraska primary was held on May 10, 2016. Independents and registered Libertarians were allowed to vote in the state's Libertarian primary. The Nebraska Primary marked the third large victory for Gary Johnson in the handful of states that conduct Libertarian presidential primaries. However, since the Libertarian Party does not use such primaries for selecting delegates to its national nominating convention, the results were effectively non-binding.

2016 Nebraska Libertarian primary^[7]
Candidate	Popular vote
Candidate	Count	Percentage
Gary Johnson	375	52.08%
Austin Petersen	135	18.75%
John McAfee	124	17.22%
Marc Allan Feldman	47	6.53%
Steve Kerbel	35	4.86%
Total:	720	100%

General election polling

Nebraska's 1st Congressional District

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hillary Clinton (D)	Donald Trump (R)	Gary Johnson (L)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College^[8]	September 25–27, 2016	233		29%	53%	—	—	—

Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hillary Clinton (D)	Donald Trump (R)	Gary Johnson (L)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College^[8]	September 25–27, 2016	233		40%	49%	—	—	—
The Singularis Group, LLC^[9]	May 11–12, 2016	1,007	± 3.08%	36%	44%	—	—	20%

Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Hillary Clinton (D)	Donald Trump (R)	Gary Johnson (L)	Other	Undecided
Emerson College^[8]	September 25–27, 2016	234		20%	65%	—	—	—

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nebraska as of Election Day.

Source	Ranking	As of
Los Angeles Times^[10]	Safe R	November 6, 2016
CNN^[11]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[12]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
NBC^[13]	Likely R	November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics^[14]	Safe R	November 8, 2016
Fox News^[15]	Safe R	November 7, 2016
ABC^[16]	Safe R	November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Party		Candidate	Running mate	Votes	Percentage	Electoral votes
	Republican	Donald Trump	Mike Pence	495,961	58.75%	5
	Democratic	Hillary Clinton	Tim Kaine	284,494	33.70%	0
	Libertarian	Gary Johnson	William Weld	38,946	4.61%	0
	Write-Ins			16,051	1.90%	0
	Green	Jill Stein	Ajamu Baraka	8,775	1.04%	0
Totals				844,227	100.00%	5

Results by county

Final results by county from the Nebraska Secretary Of State.^[17]

County	Candidate										Total votes
	Trump		Clinton		Johnson		Write-ins		Stein
	Percent	Votes	Percent	Votes	Percent	Votes	Percent	Votes	Percent	Votes
Adams	68.73%	9,287	24.44%	3,302	4.40%	594	1.62%	219	0.82%	111	13,513
Antelope	83.27%	2,732	11.67%	383	3.20%	105	1.28%	42	0.58%	19	3,281
Arthur	89.38%	244	6.23%	17	4.03%	11	0.37%	1	0.00%	0	273
Banner	88.81%	357	4.73%	19	3.48%	14	2.24%	9	0.75%	3	402
Blaine	87.07%	276	9.46%	30	3.15%	10	0.32%	1	0.00%	0	317
Boone	79.14%	2,299	14.25%	414	4.72%	137	1.31%	38	0.59%	17	2,905
Box Butte	73.46%	3,617	19.60%	965	4.67%	230	1.54%	76	0.73%	36	4,924
Boyd	85.03%	983	11.07%	128	1.99%	23	0.78%	9	1.12%	13	1,156
Brown	86.73%	1,385	9.58%	153	2.44%	39	0.81%	13	0.44%	7	1,597
Buffalo	68.95%	14,569	22.54%	4,763	5.56%	1,174	1.87%	396	1.07%	227	21,129
Burt	66.53%	2,367	26.14%	930	5.54%	197	0.70%	25	1.10%	39	3,558
Butler	77.34%	3,079	17.36%	691	3.24%	129	1.38%	55	0.68%	27	3,981
Cass	65.35%	8,452	26.94%	3,484	4.94%	639	1.75%	226	1.02%	132	12,933
Cedar	79.91%	3,532	12.92%	571	5.07%	224	1.40%	62	0.70%	31	4,420
Chase	86.83%	1,648	9.01%	171	2.85%	54	1.00%	19	0.32%	6	1,898
Cherry	84.12%	2,623	10.17%	317	4.07%	127	1.15%	36	0.48%	15	3,118
Cheyenne	77.80%	3,665	15.09%	711	4.52%	213	1.61%	76	0.98%	46	4,711
Clay	79.02%	2,422	15.56%	477	3.78%	116	1.14%	35	0.49%	15	3,065
Colfax	67.55%	2,171	26.73%	859	3.67%	118	1.24%	40	0.81%	26	3,214
Cuming	76.63%	3,122	17.65%	719	3.85%	157	1.23%	50	0.64%	26	4,074
Custer	83.07%	4,695	11.34%	641	3.64%	206	1.29%	73	0.65%	37	5,652
Dakota	57.59%	3,616	36.85%	2,314	3.65%	229	1.11%	70	0.80%	50	6,279
Dawes	71.60%	2,632	21.79%	801	5.20%	191	0.00%	0	1.41%	52	3,676
Dawson	69.30%	5,984	24.74%	2,136	4.41%	381	0.88%	76	0.67%	58	8,635
Deuel	82.22%	809	12.20%	120	4.78%	47	0.71%	7	0.10%	1	984
Dixon	73.36%	2,041	19.99%	556	4.67%	130	1.37%	38	0.61%	17	2,782
Dodge	63.96%	9,933	29.26%	4,544	4.02%	624	1.71%	266	1.04%	162	15,529
Douglas	44.95%	108,077	47.33%	113,798	4.33%	10,402	2.19%	5,274	1.20%	2,882	240,433
Dundy	86.36%	823	9.34%	89	3.25%	31	0.42%	4	0.63%	6	953
Fillmore	72.42%	2,130	20.84%	613	5.13%	151	0.88%	26	0.71%	21	2,941
Franklin	80.51%	1,347	14.94%	250	3.23%	54	0.90%	15	0.42%	7	1,673
Frontier	83.58%	1,110	12.12%	161	2.71%	36	0.98%	13	0.60%	8	1,328
Furnas	82.09%	1,921	12.99%	304	3.63%	85	0.81%	19	0.47%	11	2,340
Gage	63.50%	6,380	29.21%	2,935	4.90%	492	1.36%	137	1.04%	104	10,048
Garden	80.84%	869	14.23%	153	3.63%	39	1.12%	12	0.19%	2	1,075
Garfield	83.78%	821	12.35%	121	2.35%	23	1.02%	10	0.51%	5	980
Gosper	78.61%	794	16.44%	166	3.76%	38	0.59%	6	0.59%	6	1,010
Grant	90.62%	367	4.94%	20	1.48%	6	2.72%	11	0.25%	1	405
Greeley	77.62%	912	17.87%	210	3.23%	38	0.77%	9	0.51%	6	1,175
Hall	65.31%	14,408	28.48%	6,282	4.06%	895	1.28%	283	0.87%	192	22,060
Hamilton	75.60%	3,783	17.55%	878	4.48%	224	1.52%	76	0.86%	43	5,004
Harlan	81.66%	1,496	13.86%	254	3.38%	62	0.71%	13	0.38%	7	1,832
Hayes	91.83%	472	5.84%	30	1.56%	8	0.58%	3	0.19%	1	514
Hitchcock	83.92%	1,232	10.97%	161	4.16%	61	0.48%	7	0.48%	7	1,468
Holt	85.07%	4,354	10.38%	531	3.17%	162	0.86%	44	0.53%	27	5,118
Hooker	85.13%	355	9.59%	40	3.84%	16	0.72%	3	0.72%	3	417
Howard	76.29%	2,284	18.17%	544	3.61%	108	1.20%	36	0.73%	22	2,994
Jefferson	68.66%	2,399	23.96%	837	5.21%	182	1.32%	46	0.86%	30	3,494
Johnson	64.86%	1,355	26.95%	563	5.84%	122	1.29%	27	1.05%	22	2,089
Kearney	76.79%	2,531	16.69%	550	4.49%	148	1.24%	41	0.79%	26	3,296
Keith	80.19%	3,235	14.15%	571	4.07%	164	0.97%	39	0.62%	25	4,034
Keya Paha	88.63%	460	7.71%	40	3.28%	17	0.39%	2	0.00%	0	519
Kimball	79.31%	1,330	13.71%	230	4.65%	78	1.25%	21	1.07%	18	1,677
Knox	77.47%	3,188	17.50%	720	3.33%	137	1.00%	41	0.70%	29	4,115
Lancaster	45.21%	61,588	45.44%	61,898	5.22%	7,109	2.68%	3,654	1.45%	1,974	136,223
Lincoln	75.41%	12,164	18.06%	2,913	4.41%	711	1.46%	236	0.66%	107	16,131
Logan	88.30%	400	7.06%	32	3.97%	18	0.44%	2	0.22%	1	453
Loup	83.90%	323	12.47%	48	2.60%	10	0.78%	3	0.26%	1	385
Madison	74.10%	10,628	18.90%	2,711	4.66%	669	1.46%	209	0.88%	126	14,343
McPherson	89.55%	257	4.88%	14	4.88%	14	0.35%	1	0.35%	1	287
Merrick	77.24%	2,926	15.89%	602	4.36%	165	1.74%	66	0.77%	29	3,788
Morrill	81.58%	1,802	12.86%	284	3.80%	84	1.13%	25	0.63%	14	2,209
Nance	77.79%	1,261	17.33%	281	2.96%	48	1.05%	17	0.86%	14	1,621
Nemaha	66.94%	2,116	24.83%	785	5.69%	180	1.68%	53	0.85%	27	3,161
Nuckolls	78.28%	1,726	16.01%	353	3.99%	88	0.82%	18	0.91%	20	2,205
Otoe	65.17%	4,860	27.16%	2,025	5.03%	375	1.86%	139	0.78%	58	7,457
Pawnee	73.40%	974	21.02%	279	4.14%	55	0.68%	9	0.75%	10	1,327
Perkins	83.64%	1,217	11.07%	161	3.71%	54	1.24%	18	0.34%	5	1,455
Phelps	81.98%	3,849	12.18%	572	4.05%	190	1.41%	66	0.38%	18	4,695
Pierce	84.08%	3,052	10.52%	382	3.44%	125	1.38%	50	0.58%	21	3,630
Platte	75.97%	10,965	18.33%	2,646	3.43%	495	1.67%	241	0.60%	86	14,433
Polk	78.54%	2,028	16.00%	413	3.95%	102	1.28%	33	0.23%	6	2,582
Red Willow	82.36%	4,258	12.48%	645	3.69%	191	0.97%	50	0.50%	26	5,170
Richardson	72.77%	2,769	21.50%	818	4.18%	159	0.84%	32	0.71%	27	3,805
Rock	86.09%	687	8.77%	70	4.14%	33	0.50%	4	0.50%	4	798
Saline	58.49%	3,004	33.74%	1,733	5.53%	284	1.23%	63	1.01%	52	5,136
Sarpy	56.02%	45,143	34.79%	28,033	5.81%	4,682	2.34%	1,886	1.04%	836	80,580
Saunders	69.57%	7,555	23.23%	2,523	4.74%	515	1.57%	170	0.89%	97	10,860
Scotts Bluff	70.38%	10,076	22.40%	3,207	4.77%	683	1.57%	225	0.88%	126	14,317
Seward	68.85%	5,454	23.67%	1,875	4.25%	337	2.17%	172	1.06%	84	7,922
Sheridan	84.78%	2,211	11.00%	287	2.68%	70	0.84%	22	0.69%	18	2,608
Sherman	73.11%	1,150	21.61%	340	3.75%	59	0.70%	11	0.83%	13	1,573
Sioux	83.70%	616	11.01%	81	3.80%	28	0.95%	7	0.54%	4	736
Stanton	78.08%	2,187	14.89%	417	5.14%	144	1.39%	39	0.50%	14	2,801
Thayer	76.25%	2,051	18.55%	499	4.61%	124	0.22%	6	0.37%	10	2,690
Thomas	87.53%	344	7.63%	30	2.54%	10	1.53%	6	0.76%	3	393
Thurston	49.95%	1,043	44.01%	919	2.68%	56	1.01%	21	2.35%	49	2,088
Valley	80.73%	1,780	15.37%	339	2.40%	53	0.95%	21	0.54%	12	2,205
Washington	68.54%	7,424	24.22%	2,623	4.74%	513	1.62%	175	0.90%	97	10,832
Wayne	71.32%	2,693	22.11%	835	5.35%	202	0.29%	11	0.93%	35	3,776
Webster	77.87%	1,330	17.92%	306	2.99%	51	0.64%	11	0.59%	10	1,708
Wheeler	81.08%	377	13.33%	62	3.66%	17	1.08%	5	0.86%	4	465
York	73.66%	4,700	18.59%	1,186	5.41%	345	1.54%	98	0.81%	52	6,381
Total	58.75%	495,961	33.70%	284,494	4.61%	38,946	1.90%	16,051	1.04%	8,775	844,227

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Thurston (largest village: Pender)

Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic

Douglas (largest city: Omaha)
Lancaster (largest city: Lincoln)

By congressional district

Trump won all of the state's three congressional districts, winning all of the state's electoral votes.^[18]

District	Trump	Clinton	Representative
1st	56%	36%	Jeff Fortenberry
2nd	47%	45%	Brad Ashford
2nd	47%	45%	Don Bacon
3rd	74%	20%	Adrian Smith

References

^ "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved December 14, 2020.
^ https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nebraska
^ The Green Papers
^ Nebraska Secretary of State Election - Official Primary Results
^ WRAL: NC approves 27 candidates for presidential primary ballots
^ NC State Board of Elections presidential primary candidates' list (preliminary)^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ "Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 10, 2016". Nebraska Secretary of State. May 10, 2016. Retrieved July 22, 2016.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Emerson Poll: Washington State Looks Safe for Democrats in the Presidential and Senate Races; Trump Has a Wide Lead in Nebraska" (PDF). Emerson College. Retrieved September 28, 2016.
^ "BACON LEADS ASHFORD IN LATEST POLL". The Singularis Group, LLC. Don Bacon for Congress. May 16, 2016. Archived from the original on September 10, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
^ "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
^ Revised Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers General Election November 8, 2016 Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine John A. Gale Nebraska Secretary Of State.
^ https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index

External links

[1] "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved December 14, 2020.

[2] ttps://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nebraska

[3] The Green Papers

[4] Nebraska Secretary of State Election - Official Primary Results

[WRALcandidates-5] WRAL: NC approves 27 candidates for presidential primary ballots

[ncsbelist-6] NC State Board of Elections presidential primary candidates' list (preliminary)^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[7] "Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 10, 2016". Nebraska Secretary of State. May 10, 2016. Retrieved July 22, 2016.

[Emersonnw-8] "Emerson Poll: Washington State Looks Safe for Democrats in the Presidential and Senate Races; Trump Has a Wide Lead in Nebraska" (PDF). Emerson College. Retrieved September 28, 2016.

[9] "BACON LEADS ASHFORD IN LATEST POLL". The Singularis Group, LLC. Don Bacon for Congress. May 16, 2016. Archived from the original on September 10, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.

[10] "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[11] "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[12] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[13] Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[14] "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[15] "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[16] "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.

[17] Revised Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers General Election November 8, 2016 Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine John A. Gale Nebraska Secretary Of State.

[18] ttps://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index

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-==== Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican ====
+==== Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican ====
 *[[Thurston County, Nebraska|Thurston]] (largest village: [[Pender, Nebraska|Pender]])