2016 Indiana Democratic presidential primary: Difference between revisions
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| next_election = 2020 Indiana Democratic presidential primary |
| next_election = 2020 Indiana Democratic presidential primary |
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| next_year = 2020 |
| next_year = 2020 |
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| image1 = File:Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg |
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| candidate1 = '''[[Bernie Sanders]]''' |
| candidate1 = '''[[Bernie Sanders]]''' |
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| percentage1 ='''52.46%''' |
| percentage1 ='''52.46%''' |
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| image2 = File:Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg |
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| candidate2 = [[Hillary Clinton]] |
| candidate2 = [[Hillary Clinton]] |
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==Analysis== |
==Analysis== |
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Sanders managed a five-percentage point upset win in Indiana, despite not leading in a single poll ahead of the primary. He won men |
Sanders managed a five-percentage point upset win in Indiana, despite not leading in a single poll ahead of the primary. He won men 57–43, tied women with Clinton 50-50, beat Clinton 68-32 among [[Millennials|voters under the age of 45]], and won a resounding 59–41 victory with [[Caucasian race|white]] voters, who made up 71% of the Democratic electorate in Indiana. He also won self-identified [[Independent Party (United States)|Independents]] 72-28 and won across all income levels. Clinton performed best with [[African Americans]] who she won 74–26, and older voters who she won 60–40. |
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Sanders performed well statewide in Indiana, winning most of the rural counties. He performed well in [[Marion County, Indiana|Marion County]], winning 51-49 according to exit polls. Marion contains the state capital and largest city of [[Indianapolis, Indiana|Indianapolis]], and the Indianapolis Suburbs which he won |
Sanders performed well statewide in Indiana, winning most of the rural counties. He performed well in [[Marion County, Indiana|Marion County]], winning 51-49 according to exit polls. Marion contains the state capital and largest city of [[Indianapolis, Indiana|Indianapolis]], and the Indianapolis Suburbs which he won 56–44. Sanders won Northeast Indiana, which is anchored in [[Allen County, Indiana|Allen County]] by [[Fort Wayne, Indiana|Fort Wayne]]. Sanders carried [[East Central Indiana]] and [[Northern Indiana]]. He carried [[St. Joseph County, Indiana|St. Joseph County]] which contains [[South Bend]] and [[University of Notre Dame]] by a wide margin, likely thanks to his support from younger voters. He also won [[Monroe County, Indiana|Monroe County]] which contains the city of [[Bloomington, Indiana|Bloomington]] which is home to [[Indiana University (Bloomington)|Indiana University]]. Sanders also won [[Vanderburgh County, Indiana|Vanderburgh County]] which contains [[Evansville, Indiana|Evansville]] as well as [[Vigo County, Indiana|Vigo County]] which contains [[Terre Haute]]. |
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Clinton won [[Lake County, Indiana|Lake County]] in Northwest Indiana (a region she won by a narrow |
Clinton won [[Lake County, Indiana|Lake County]] in Northwest Indiana (a region she won by a narrow 51–49) which contains the heavily [[African Americans|African American]] city of [[Gary, Indiana|Gary]] and is a part of the [[Chicago, Illinois|Chicago]] Metropolitan Area, and performed well in [[Southern Indiana]] along the [[Ohio River]] with neighboring [[Kentucky]]. |
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==References== |
==References== |
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Latest revision as of 12:47, 16 November 2024
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 Election results by county.
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| Elections in Indiana |
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The 2016 Indiana Democratic presidential primary took place on May 3 in the U.S. state of Indiana as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.
The Republican Party held their own Indiana primary on the same day. Other primaries were not held that day.
Opinion polling
[edit]| List of polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Delegate count: 83 Pledged, 9 Unpledged
Winner:
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Results
[edit]| Indiana Democratic primary, May 3, 2016 | |||||
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| Candidate | Popular vote | Estimated delegates | |||
| Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
| Bernie Sanders | 335,074 | 52.46% | 44 | 0 | 44 |
| Hillary Clinton | 303,705 | 47.54% | 39 | 7 | 46 |
| Uncommitted | — | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Total | 638,779 | 100% | 83 | 9 | 92 |
| Source: [10] | |||||
Analysis
[edit]Sanders managed a five-percentage point upset win in Indiana, despite not leading in a single poll ahead of the primary. He won men 57–43, tied women with Clinton 50-50, beat Clinton 68-32 among voters under the age of 45, and won a resounding 59–41 victory with white voters, who made up 71% of the Democratic electorate in Indiana. He also won self-identified Independents 72-28 and won across all income levels. Clinton performed best with African Americans who she won 74–26, and older voters who she won 60–40.
Sanders performed well statewide in Indiana, winning most of the rural counties. He performed well in Marion County, winning 51-49 according to exit polls. Marion contains the state capital and largest city of Indianapolis, and the Indianapolis Suburbs which he won 56–44. Sanders won Northeast Indiana, which is anchored in Allen County by Fort Wayne. Sanders carried East Central Indiana and Northern Indiana. He carried St. Joseph County which contains South Bend and University of Notre Dame by a wide margin, likely thanks to his support from younger voters. He also won Monroe County which contains the city of Bloomington which is home to Indiana University. Sanders also won Vanderburgh County which contains Evansville as well as Vigo County which contains Terre Haute.
Clinton won Lake County in Northwest Indiana (a region she won by a narrow 51–49) which contains the heavily African American city of Gary and is a part of the Chicago Metropolitan Area, and performed well in Southern Indiana along the Ohio River with neighboring Kentucky.
References
[edit]- ^ The Green Papers - Official Primary Results
- ^ Official Primary Results
- ^ "American Research Group, Inc". Retrieved April 29, 2016.
- ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll May 2016 Indiana Questionnaire" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
- ^ "1) Cruz Ahead in Indiana 2) Clinton Leads 3) Young Edging Stutzman but Many Yet to Decide" (PDF). Retrieved April 30, 2016.
- ^ "IPFW poll: Hoosiers like Clinton". Retrieved April 29, 2016.
- ^ "Poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Pennsylvania, Indiana". CBS News. April 24, 2016. Retrieved April 24, 2016.
- ^ "Fox News Poll: Indiana Presidential Primaries". Fox News. April 22, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.
- ^ "Exclusive WTHR/HPI Poll: Trump, Clinton have small leads in Indiana, overall tight race". WTHR News. April 22, 2016. Archived from the original on April 23, 2016. Retrieved April 22, 2016.
- ^ The Green Papers - Official Primary Results